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Third IAP Meeting January 9 2008

Attribution of SST Impacts/Origins ° Impact of Global SSTs --- Global Terrestrial Warmth in 2007 --- La Niña: Impacts Canonical? ° Origins for the Global SST conditions ___ La Niña: What led What? ---- NPacific/NAtlantic SSTs. 1. Third IAP Meeting

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Third IAP Meeting January 9 2008

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  1. Attribution of SST Impacts/Origins ° Impact of Global SSTs --- Global Terrestrial Warmth in 2007 --- La Niña: Impacts Canonical? ° Origins for the Global SST conditions ___ La Niña: What led What? ---- NPacific/NAtlantic SSTs 1 Third IAP Meeting January 9 2008

  2.     L    

  3. January - September 2007 OBS Multi-AGCM      L    

  4. OBS      L  AGCM   

  5. OBS      L  AGCM   

  6.     L    

  7.     L    

  8. SON 2007

  9. SON Composite La Niña

  10. September-November 2007 Seasonal Anomalies Attributable to East Tropical Pacific SSTs?

  11. Observed September - November La Nina Composite

  12. Simulated SON 2007 150-member multi-model

  13. Simulated La Niña Comp 150-member multi-model

  14. Observed September - November La Nina Composite

  15. Observed September - November 2007 Anomalies

  16. Simulated September - November 2007 Anomalies GOGA, 150-member multi-model

  17. Simulated September - November 2007 Anomalies EPAC, 150-member multi-model

  18. Simulated September - November La Niña Composite GOGA, 150-member multi-model

  19. Simulated September - November La Niña Composite EPAC, 150-member multi-model

  20. 2007 La Niña Embedded Within Warming Oceans

  21. What are the Official Forecast for US winter climate? 0.5 month Lead 1.5 month Lead

  22. What are the Official Forecast for US winter climate? 1.5 month Lead 0.5 month Lead

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