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This document summarizes the research activities of 2005 focusing on intergenerational transfers in Brazil. It includes presentations, papers, abstracts, and objectives related to private and other consumption estimates, health and education data analysis, impact assessment, and consumption age profiles. The text discusses data availability, historical series of public transfers, consumption patterns, and future research plans for 2006, emphasizing the need for accurate estimates and methodological considerations.
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Macroeconomic Aspects of Intergenerational TransfersBrazil Cassio M. Turra Bernardo L. Queiroz Elisenda Renteria-Perez
Summary of 2005 activities • Two presentations (international seminars) • Three papers • Extended abstract (PAA 2006) • Section (ABEP 2006) • Research assistant: Elisenda Renteria-Perez (who is doing great!) • Two fronts: 1) prepare historical series of public transfers (SS); 2) estimate consumption age profiles
Objectives • Discuss estimates of private consumption: 1987 (POF), 1996 (PPV), 2002 (POF) • Other Consumption: NTA Equivalence Scale vs. Engel • Health and Education: Regressions vs. Self-reported Data • Impact for future analyses
Consumption age profiles: Data Available in Brazil PPV • Based on LSMS • Only for 1996 • 70% of the Brazilian population • Individual consumption on education and health POF and ENDEF • Provide weights to consumer price index • 1974, 1987, 1995, 2002 (maybe 1 for the 1960s) • Household consumption only
Good News! Per Capita Total Consumption – PPV 1996
But maybe not so good… Per Capita Total Consumption – PPV 1996
Does it matter or not? Test: Average Age at Consumption
Discussion • Health: How to obtain better estimates? • Other Consumption: Should we apply the same NTA scale every year? • Are we artificially shaping the age profiles?
Work Plan for 2006 • Re-estimate NTA for 1996 using Turra’s thesis and methods recently developed by Ron & Andy et al. • Write a paper using the 1996 estimates • Estimate historical series of public transfers: (education and health) • Write PAA paper for presentation at ABEP 2006 • Keep providing training to Elisenda • Organize weekly meetings at Cedeplar, Brazil