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Brussles 26 January 2007. Mobilising people for adapted labour markets – a sociological view. Lucie Vidovićová Faculty of Social Studies Masaryk University Brno Czech Rep. Dependency ratios.
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Brussles 26 January 2007 Mobilising people for adapted labour markets – a sociological view Lucie Vidovićová Faculty of Social Studies Masaryk University Brno Czech Rep.
Dependency ratios „…according to projections there will be 2 economically active persons on almost 3 persons economically dependent by 2050“ (Source: www.demografie.info) Source: Eurostat & LFS 2005
„Adjusted“ economic dependency ratio • dep. ratio = 134 • “feeding“ in 2005
Average desire to retire early (in years) Source: IPPAS
Desire to retire early by the expected lack of work features Data available for CZ, LT, NL, PL, RO, and SL only Source: IPPAS
Average number of years of E-R-D by level of satisfaction with… (in years) Source: IPPA II Data available for AT, CZ, LT, and SL only.
Preference model of activity in advanced age work oriented – adaptive – retirement oriented • work/retirement plans - strong predictor of actual work/retirement behaviour • work/retirement plans are individually shaped by value-based lifestyle choices • normally distributed in society and not associated to main socio-demographic features (Vidovićová 2005, Hakim 2002) Survey Tranzice 2006 – Institute for Research on Social Reproduction and Integration FSS MU, Sample: quota selection, population of Czech Rep. aged 55 – 65 y. (N = 1063) www.ivris.fss.muni.cz
Preference model typology N = 686; Cronbach α=0.65 Source:Tranzice 2006
Preference type by actual work involvement Source:Tranzice 2006
Work oriented vs. retir. oriented • feel healthier, are better dealing with functional health constrains; use less medication; feel subjectively younger • more able to deal with ones´ own ageing process (PGCM scale) • are more optimistic about recent development as compared to situation before 1989 (communist era) • feel subjectively more rich and declare higher income, • describe own retirement more as an unpleasant experience or formality (vs. looking forward to it or due to external pressure) • expect (or experience) decreasing quality of life in retirement (feelings of usefulness, relationships,mental wellbeing…) • BUT no influence of sex, age!, and only negligible association with education …
…and declare to react differently on the same policies Source:Tranzice 2006
Need to learn new (I)T (in %) Source:Tranzice 2006
Cost effectiveness of programs • AKTIV (Frydek-Místek, May/October ´06) • more than 6 months unemployed, age 45+ • 2,5 mio CZK (83 000 €)(motivation + praxis + job) • 60 people enroled in program, 59 % (?) successful • 1388 € per participant • 2380 € per successful (working) participant If each of 129100 unemployed 45+ 307,3 mio € (9,2 billion CZK) Source: www.mpsv.cz, own calculation.
good news: it may not be (primarily) about money bad news: values, life strategies and satisfaction seem to play an important role In conclusion… Thank you for your attention! lucie.vidovic@seznam.cz www.ivris.fss.muni.cz www.ageismus.cz