Met brief:  2014-03-09
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Monday now looking good Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


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Met brief: 2014-03-09 For flight of Monday 2014-03-10 Rennie Selkirk with R. Ueyama , L. Pfister & L. Harvey. Monday now looking good Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S Possible tropical cyclone near Vanuatu => path nearer Fiji recommended

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Met brief: 2014-03-09For flight of Monday 2014-03-10Rennie Selkirk with R. Ueyama, L. Pfister & L. Harvey

  • Monday now looking good

  • Convection flt path issue 7°S-18°S

  • Possible tropical cyclone near Vanuatu => path nearer Fiji recommended

  • Surface wind conditions Tue & Wed becoming less favorable


Developing picture
Developing picture

TD17F

TD18F

Depressions in trough near Vanuatu:

TC Gillian in Gulf of Carpentaria

Fiji trop -88.1°C at 56 kft

08 March 1132 UT

(Sat 2130)

08 March 2132 UT

(Sun 0730)

Guam

Vila

Nadi


Last night s nadi sounding very cold trop 88 3 hpa 88 1 c 185 k
last night’s Nadi soundingvery cold trop: 88.3 hPa, -88.1°C = 185 K


Satellite image valid about 0845 CHst this morning. Convectively active for over a day


00 ut monday
00 UT Monday Convectively active for over a day

GFS

12Z

NVG

18Z


Fiji Tropical Cylcone Center guidance Convectively active for over a day

MON

TUE


NOAA guidance Convectively active for over a day

All the models put something in the way of a closed circulation (or a TC) in the Vanuatu

area in the next few days.


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