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Mission Canyon Fire Prevention. Eli Kersh-Oliva Delwin Leung Viviane Vincent Peter Thermos Tyler Eck. Mission Canyon. Data Sources. Santa Barbara County Fire Captain David Neels. Dr. Dar Roberts. Dr. Ray Smith. Original Objective of Project.
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Mission Canyon Fire Prevention Eli Kersh-Oliva Delwin Leung Viviane Vincent Peter Thermos Tyler Eck
Data Sources Santa Barbara County Fire Captain David Neels Dr. Dar Roberts Dr. Ray Smith
Original Objective of Project • To create a potential fire hazard map using a combination of variables in a predictive model. • Vegetation, Slope, Streets and Houses would be used to determine areas of high risk. • The final map would provide the fire department with a tool to identify areas that needed greater attention. • To provide the MCPA with visual aids to create general public awareness.
Original Methods of Project • Mapping of the Mission Canyon through the use of: • Overlays • Buffer • Proximity • Euclidian Distance • Resample • Reclassify • Multicriteria Decision Making (AHP) • Raster Calculator
What Went Right • Excellent advice from faculty and County Fire included: Dr. Ray Smith, David Neels and Dar Roberts. • Once we had the data layers, our group was able to work with the data effectively. • Highly motivated group members and great group chemistry throughout the project.
What Went Wrong • Coordinating data between agencies was very difficult. We encountered many problems during this process. • Accuracy of data was a major issue, especially with the vegetation layer. • 30 meter resolution was the best that we could possible use and create.
What Else Went Wrong “It’s a good idea to use AHP, though software access will have to be worked out.” -Dr. Goodchild
Structure Distance to Vegetation Structure Distance to Road Slope Vegetation type Structure Distance to Vegetation 1 Structure Distance to Road 1 Slope 1 Vegetation Type 1 AHP Original template that we worked with.
Fuel Risk Structure further than 300 feet from roadway Slope Fuel Risk 1 8 1/7 Structure further than 300 feet from roadway 1/8 1 1/6 Slope 7 6 1 AHP David Neels’ estimate: AHP Matrix
AHP Final weights that were used: x=[1,8,.14286;.125,1,.16667;7,6,1] 0.2180 0.0574 0.7247
Key Lessons • Coordination with agencies and faculty. • Simplifying the methods. • Using real-world situation to create useful and informative maps for public and private use.
Recommendations • Fire risk needs to become the central issue of all future development and planning of Mission Canyon. • Identifying extremely high fire danger that would be potential candidates of brush clearance. • Greater public awareness for residents.