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Presidential Election Process in the United States: From Nominations to Delegates

Understand the historical context and intricacies of the U.S. presidential election process, from nomination methods to delegate strategies. Explore the evolution of the system and key factors for candidates aiming to secure the nomination.

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Presidential Election Process in the United States: From Nominations to Delegates

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  1. The President I 2/9/2012

  2. Clearly Stated Learning Objectives • Upon completion of this course, students will be able to: • understand and interpret the United States Constitution and apply it to the present (the sections on the presidency and Electoral College). • assess the 2008 & 2012 Presidential Elections without resorting to partisan bickering. • identify and explain the role of formal and informal institutions and their effect on policy.

  3. Office Hours and Readings • Readings- Chapter 9 on the President • Office Hours • Today 12-2 • Wednesday 10-2

  4. Who are our Presidents?

  5. Simple Requirements (Article II) • Natural Born Citizen • 35 Years Old • 14 years a resident

  6. Our Presidents Historically • Most are in their 50’s at time of election • Most are Lawyers • Most are of English Ancestry • All but one has been Protestant

  7. How many and how much power? The Debate on the executive

  8. On an executive • The Articles Lacked one • We feared monarchy • We Feared Tyranny The Country Needed one

  9. What the Debate centered on • How Many • A Singular executive vs. a plural executive • How Much Power • Tyranny vs impotence • What is the safe and effective combination?

  10. Option I: A Monarch • Advantages • Disadvantages

  11. Option II: A Plural executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  12. Option III: A Weak Executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  13. Option IV: A Strong Executive • Advantages • Disadvantages

  14. Balancing it out

  15. The history of nominations Choosing a presidential Nominee

  16. Congressional Caucus Method (1800-1828) • Parties in Congress picked the Nominees • Problems • What ends it

  17. The Party Convention System • Lasts until the 1970’s • Party leaders picked nominees at national conventions

  18. The End of the Party System • Problems with it • A Focusing Event • Who Loses

  19. The Current system • Voter-centered, rather than party centered • Binding Primaries and Caucuses • A Race for Delegates

  20. In 2008 (The Democrats)

  21. The Republicans in 2008

  22. The Impact of The Current System • Advantages • Disadvantages

  23. So You want to be president? Getting the nomination

  24. Step 1 Don’t Sit back at wait • You have to participate in the invisible primary • If you wait, your window might close

  25. When You can Run? • Never Take a candidate on their word • You can run whenever, but things can make it difficult • You have to Wait for your Window • GOP (as early as 2016, as late as 2024) • Democrats (as early as 2016, as late as 2028)

  26. Step 2: Have a “Presidential Job”

  27. The Current GOP Field Presidential Jobs Non-Presidential Jobs House Members Gingrich Bachmann Paul Other Herman Cain • Governors • Perry • Romney • Huntsman • Senators • Santorum

  28. Step 3: Be Prepared to Spend Money • Money Buys Organization • Money Buys Name Recognition • Money Converts itself

  29. Federal Money vs. Self-financing

  30. The Effect of Money on Campaigns • How it has changed the primary campaign • How important is it? • Where We stand

  31. Step 4:Getting Delegates • Primaries • Caucuses • Which helped Obama?

  32. Delegate Apportionment The Democrats The Republicans Fewer Delegates More winner-take-all states • More Delegates • Proportional Representation • Super Delegates

  33. Front-loading of Delegates

  34. Frontloading and 2012 • The GOP is making more states use proportional representation • They do not want an early nominee. • Pro’s and Cons of a longer primary?

  35. Delegates Matter

  36. Step 5: Momentum • Looking like a winner and Actually winning • Media coverage goes to those who can win. • Be the last person standing (winnowing)

  37. The First Four • Iowa • New Hampshire • South Carolina • Florida

  38. The Clinton Strategy: 2008 • Deliver the Knock-out blow on super-tuesday • Reload • Watch the GOP fight it out all spring

  39. How Mc Cain Wins Early: 2008 • Winner-take-all states • Romney and Huckabee go after each other • The Early win is A blessing and a curse for McCain

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