Advances on the use of NAEFS products on operational meteorology and research in Mexico. René Lobato-Sánchez Alberto Hernández-Unzón. Bit of a Background.
Advances on the use of NAEFS products on operational meteorology and research in Mexico
Bit of a Background meteorology and research in Mexico
Good at synoptic scales meteorological bulletins
Probabilistic QPF is very important and widely used. meteorological bulletins
Could outputs go further south?
Week two temperature forecast meteorological bulletins
Different products in use at SMN’s Forecast Office meteorological bulletins
probabilistic forecast of temperature anomaly over the NAEFS
Could we add political state boundaries for Mexico?
Prob. Wind Speed Prob. Pcpn over 5 mm
Prob. Max. Sfc. Air Temp.
Extreme Forecast Index as in ECWMF meteorological bulletins
Wind Gust total pcpn index
Daily analysis meteorological bulletins
Since November 2007, SE Mexico is receiving special attention
Could we add Relative Humidity? meteorological bulletins
Mixing probabilistic with deterministic models on both GC and mesoscale models
Due to budgetary restrictions, upper air soundings cannot be launched at all sites (17), therefore have to schedule some stations at 12Z and others to 0Z
In Hydrology it has been detected the possibility of using NAEFS ensamble gridded outputs in order to do streamflow forecasting
Can we have access to the grid ensemble output on a operational basis?
In HeatWaves: Anotherrange > 40°C
In ColdWaves: Is OK
MaybeIncorporates EFI similar to ECMWF
AnotherRanges: 7 onBeaufortScale (28-33 km/h)
8 onBeaufortScale (34-40 km/h)
& 9 onBeaufortScale (41-47 km/h)
THANK YOU !!! NAEFS ensamble gridded outputs in order to do streamflow forecasting