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Integrated modelling and the OpenMI From vision to mission

Integrated modelling and the OpenMI From vision to mission. Roger Moore OpenMI Association.

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Integrated modelling and the OpenMI From vision to mission

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  1. Integrated modelling and the OpenMIFrom vision to mission Roger Moore OpenMI Association FluidEarth 2 Launch – 18th April 2013

  2. Begin broad and finish narrow: Begin with:the motivationthe vision the thinking which gave rise to HarmonIT and OpenMI-LIFEChart the course of these projectsNarrow to the conclusion discussing:OpenMI version 2.0Its suitability as a ratified standard alongside other worthy standards ... Ian, please will you begin narrow and finish broad: begin where ...

  3. Motivation – planning for the WFD • Realization that: • IWM places huge demands on policy makers/water managers • Must consider wider impacts of policy/measures - biofuels > starvation • Major challenges ahead: • Some foreseen ... • Some not ... • Need help/tools • Models/DSS – obvious solution but need to be much more sophisticated – Earth system models • Infeasible/undesirable to abandon existing and write new • Therefore must link existing ... • ... but how to do it? Fluid Earth Launch, HR Wallingford, UK – 18th April 2013

  4. The R&D programme • Early work - Netherlands, USA & Australia • Frustrated by: • Technology – H/W & S/W • ‘politics’ – not invented here, proprietary, national, ... • Funds • 2002 EC DG RTD – HarmonIT– FP5 €6M • Planned for success: • Recognition i) in US, ii) globally • Future funding • 2006 EC DG ENV – OpenMI-Life – LIFE €4M+ €2M • Best of LIFE award • 2007 OpenMI Association • 2013 Fluid Earth

  5. The outcome • HarmonIT • Research • OpenMI Version 1 • A vision • OpenMI-Life • Demonstration and testing under operational conditions • OpenMI Version 2 • OpenMI Association • OpenMI Association • Maintenance and development of the OpenMI • A strategy for promoting IEM • World standard – OGC • Fluid Earth • Providing the tools • Making it easy to use • Delivering integrated modelling to those who can exploit it FluidEarth 2 Launch – 18th April 2013

  6. Begin broad and finish narrow: Begin with:the motivationthe vision the thinking which gave rise to HarmonIT and OpenMI-LIFEChart the course of these projectsNarrow to the conclusion discussing:OpenMI version 2.0Its suitability as a ratified standard alongside other worthy standards ... Ian, please will you begin narrow and finish broad: begin where ...

  7. Thank you WWW.OpenMI.org FluidEarth 2 Launch – 18th April 2013

  8. Challenges foreseen ...

  9. Groundwater status • GW status and the impact of measures • Quantitative – abstraction leading to: • Sustained downward trends in WL’s • SW objectives not being achieved • Flow • Ecology • Damage to wetlands • Intrusion of poor water quality in GW • Chemical - GW pollutant concentrations leading to: • GWQ deterioration and compromise of drinking WQ • Degradation of other uses, e.g. Irrigation, industry, ... • SW chemical and ecological objectives not being achieved • Damage to wetlands, e.g. Nutrient rich GW damaging ecosystem • Intrusion of poor water quality in GW

  10. Groundwater flooding at Great Shefford on the River Lambourn Winter 2000-2001 Dry bed of River Pang, Summer 2006 Groundwater • Impacts of: • Extremes on: • Groundwater resources • Groundwater flooding and flood damage costs • Ground water quality on: • Health • Ecosystems • ... • Risks arising from: • Carbon capture and storage • ...

  11. Water Security How will climate change affect the frequency of drought conditions and hence security of water supply and biological diversity?

  12. Landslides and transport systems How will climate change affect the incidence of road and rail closures due to landslides? How can network and transport design be improved to adapt to environmental change?

  13. Coastal Risk Management How will climate change affect the number of insurance claims for properties lost to inundation and cliff erosion?

  14. Carbon Capture and Storage How economically viable will it be to store CO2 in a geological formation under the North Sea?

  15. Geogmagnetically induced currents What would be the impact of a “Carrington” type space weather event on electrical distribution systems and civil society?

  16. Challenges not foreseen ...

  17. Japanese tsunami What is the risk to infrastructure of multiple natural disasters?

  18. Deepwater Horizon What would be the impact of leakage from an oil and gas well in UK waters on the national economy, coastal and marine biodiversity and the well-being of the population affected?

  19. Volcanic eruptions What impact will a volcanic ash cloud from an Icelandic volcano have on civil aviation and subsequent economic losses for a country?

  20. Fracking

  21. Disease vectors How will climate change affect the global distribution of malaria?

  22. OpenMI Version 1

  23. User interface User interface Input data Hydraulics Output data Application Application What is the OpenMI? • A generic interface standard for: • run time data exchange between models, databases and other components • Whose purpose is to: • improve ability to model process interactions Input data Rainfall/Runoff OpenMI Output data

  24. What does it do? • Key features: • Generic • Core and extensions • Components can be models, databases, analytical or visualisation software • Models can be simple or complete applications • Models can be static or dynamic with respect to time • Time steps may be different • Models can be spatial or non-spatial • Spatial resolution and representation may be different • Request/reply mechanism • One and two way data exchange between modelling components at run time • Data exchanged can be numeric or categorical • Adaptors handle differences temporal, spatial and unit transformations • State management • Open • Standard is platform independent • SDK for .Net – Java and Python SDK’s in hand

  25. The OpenMI interface functions Descriptive • To provide informationthatallows other componentsto find out what items this Linkable Component can exchange : • Quantities (What) • ElementSets (Where) Configurative • To define what will be exchanged Run time • Toenable the model to request and receive dataat run time Engine

  26. Rainfall Runoff Model River Model Linking modelled quantities

  27. Linking element sets River Model Groundwater Model Elements are the locations where quantities are calculated

  28. Adapting outputs Component 2 Input 1 Iput 1 Spatial adaptation a Time adaptation a Input 2 Component 1 SI-conv a Output 1 Component 3 Input 1 Output 2 Spatial adaptation b Input 2 Time adaptation b SI-conv b Output 3 Input 3

  29. A practical example • Policy issue …….. • Impact of climate change on flood damage costs • Interacting processes: • Flood damage cost • Channel flow • Sewer flow (urban) • Surface runoff (catchment) • Rainfall Flood levels  €, $, £, …

  30. Rainfall.GetValues RR.GetValues RR.GetValues Sewer.GetValues How it works Rainfall(database) Trigger Rainfall-Runoff Economic River.GetValues River call Sewer data

  31. A vision

  32. A vision • Immense opportunity for innovation • Huge pool of linkable components from many disciplines • IEM and IM become accessible to all • Linking models as simple as plugging a camera into a PC • Easy to use tools for developers and end users • SDK’s, GUI’s, composition editors • Analysis, visualisation, etc. • QC/QA • Specialised search and assembly engines for building model chains • Small set of standards: • Model component descriptions • Interface definitions • Semantics – especially variables • The market changes and opens up • Barriers to entry reduced • Play to strengths • Model marts for model components/apps and services: • Open source • Commercial

  33. Demos and testing under operational conditions

  34. + => Linking a sewer model to a river model Use case A: linking a sewer model to a river model InfoWorks CS InfoWorks RS Objective: to optimise investments and operational strategies for sewers and rivers so as to minimise flooding Study Case: City of Leuven and River Dijle Partners: Aquafin and VMM

  35. Location and extent of the models in Use Case B within Flanders Linking a tidal model to a river model Scheldt operational use case B => + Mike 11 Objective: to improve flood maps, forecasts and storage pond operation Study Case: Dijle and river Scheldt Partners: FH and VMM InfoWorks RS

  36. The basin of the rivers Dijle and Demer and the location of the common linked reaches on the river Dijle in Use Case C InfoWorks RS Pegase Mike11 Linking two river models to a water quality model Scheldt operational use case C Objective: to improve interaction between water quantity and water quality Study Case: Dijle and Dender Partners: FH, VMM and ULg

  37. Kustzuid model Leie-Bovenscheldt model Linking a 1D river model to a 2D tidal model Scheldt operational use case D WAQUA MIKE11 + Objective: to improve flood maps and improved knowledge of model integration Study Case: River Scheldt & Dender Partners: FH and Deltares

  38. OpenMI Version 2

  39. A strategy for promoting IEM OGC Bonn - 2nd March 2011

  40. Barriers to progress • Lack of awareness • Lack of confidence • Not readily available or accessible • No skills base • Few tools • No underpinning R & D programme • Little take up by government, industry and the public • Few resources

  41. Strategy • Raise awareness • Build confidence • Ensure availability and accessibility • Build the skills base • Create tools • Establish an underpinning R & D programme • Grow take up by government, industry and the public • Secure resources

  42. OGC Bonn - 2nd March 2011

  43. Junk slides

  44. Begin broad and finish narrow: • Begin with: • the motivation • the vision • thinking which gave rise to HarmonIT and OpenMI-LIFE • chart the course of these projects • narrow to the conclusion of OpenMI discussing: • OpenMI version 2.0 • its suitability as a ratified standard alongside other worthy standards • Ian, please will you begin narrow and finish broad: begin where ... • Roger left off with OpenMI and broaden to the vision behind FluidEarth, the opportunities and successes it created, the issues and vision for the wider modelling world. The title could be something like “FluidEarth 2: Motivations and Opportunities”.

  45. Status 11 Years 5 Years • 2002HarmonIT • 2006 OpenMI 1.0 released • 2006OpenMI-Life • 2007 OpenMI 1.4 released • 2007OpenMI Association formed as legal entity to: • Develop and maintain OpenMI standard • Disseminate information • Promote integrated modelling • 2008 OGC approaches OA • 2010 OpenMI 2.0 released • 2012 OpenMI standard re-written in OGC style • 2013 OpenMI approved by OAB for OGC member review • 2013 Fluid Earth 2 SDK for OpenMI to be released in April

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