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Systems Analysis and Decision Support . Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen Group: Dr. Kai Virtanen M.Sc. Juho Kokkala, Jukka Luoma, Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas, Jouni Pousi, Mika Marttunen, Finnish Environment Institute.

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Systems Analysis and Decision Support

Prof. Raimo P. Hämäläinen

Group:

Dr. Kai Virtanen

M.Sc. Juho Kokkala, Jukka Luoma,

Ville Mattila, Jirka Poropudas, Jouni Pousi,

Mika Marttunen, Finnish Environment Institute

Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

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Research topicsSystems analysis and decision support

  • Dynamic systems
    • Strategy of flight
    • Maintenance of aircraft
  • Multicriteria decision modeling and games
    • Web software
  • Environment
    • New tools for facilitation
  • Systems thinking

Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

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ImpactSystems analysis and decision support

  • Theory of preference programming
    • Decision under uncertainty
    • Group decision
  • Decisionarium web site
    • Repository for worldwide use of decision support software
  • Best-practices for environmental decision analysis
  • Nuclear risk management model implemented in European Union and India

Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

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Where tomorrow?Systems analysis and decision support

  • Institute for Systems and Decision Research (national IIASA with PhD education)
  • Systems thinking and systems intelligence
  • Neuroeconomics and behavioural studies
  • Multicriteria optimization and metamodeling in simulation
  • Dynamic influence diagrams

Aalto University RAE • 10 June 2009 • Department of Mathematics and Systems Analysis

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optimization and game theory models and algorithms
Optimization and Game Theory Models and Algorithms

Prof. Harri Ehtamo

Tech.Lic. Kimmo Berg

M.Sc. Simo Heliövaara, Juha-Matti Kuusinen, Mirko Ruokokoski, Janne Sorsa

research topics optimization and game theory models and algorithms
Research topicsOptimization and game theory models and algorithms

Optimization algorithms for pricing of goods

Focus on monopoly pricing problems

How to compute optimal bundles underlimited information?

Stochastic Vehicle Routing Optimization

Game theory models and algorithms to describe large crowd dynamics in simulation environment

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ImpactOptimization and game theory models and algorithms

  • Modelling and forecasting of people flow inhigh rise buildings
  • Modelling of safe evacuation of people from large burning buildings
where tomorrow optimization and game theory models and algorithms
Where tomorrow?Optimization and game theory models and algorithms

Development of novel MILP algorithms for vehicle routing problems

Special emphasis on elevator group control

Development of new mathematical concepts based on problem symmetry

Collaboration with leading research groups in the field, e.g., HEC Montreal

Development of learning algorithms based on evolutionary game theory to describe large crowd dynamics

Collaboration with VTT, NIST/USA, Dresden University,to develop a simulation model for fire safety analysis of large buildings

decision models and foresight methodologies
Decision Models and Foresight Methodologies

Prof. Ahti Salo

Group:

Dr.Tech. Juuso Liesiö

Tech.Lic. Antti Punkka, Pekka Mild

M.Sc. Ville Brummer, Jussi Kangaspunta, Antti Silvast, Antti Toppila, Eeva Vilkkumaa

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Research topicsDecision models and foresight methodologies

  • Portfolio decision analysis for allocating resources to non-traded investment opportunities
    • Uncertainties  Scenarios & robustness
    • Multiple criteria  Preference modelling
    • Stakeholders  Decision processes
    • Constraints & dynamics  Optimization models
    • Several resources  Efficiency analysis

Theory

Method-ologies

Decision models

Decisions

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ImpactDecision models and foresight methodologies

  • International research awards (INFORMS)
  • Major foresight projects
    • FinnSight 2015, Strategic Research Agendas
  • Resource allocation decisions
    • National funding plans for road maintenance
    • Standardization investments at Nokia
  • Efficiency analyses
    • Identification of cost-effective weapons systems
    • Funding channels and the productivity of research
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Where tomorrow?Decision models and foresight methodologies

  • A world-leader in Portfolio Decision Analysis (PDA)
    • Book to be published by Springer
  • Design of information acquisition strategies in project portfolio selection
    • Relevant to various funding agencies
    • Collaboration with London Business School
  • Portfolio optimization of risk management plans
    • Collaboration with the University of Southern California