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PARTNERING FOR GROWTH Working together towards a sustainable future Northwest Province 23 June 2011. CONTENTS. 1.INTRODUCTION 2. 2010 OVERVIEW The Construction Economy CESA: Consulting Engineers South Africa Industry Issues and Events Non-events 3. THE WAY FORWARD: 2011 & BEYOND
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PARTNERING FOR GROWTH Working together towards a sustainable future Northwest Province 23 June 2011
CONTENTS 1.INTRODUCTION 2. 2010 OVERVIEW • The Construction Economy • CESA: Consulting Engineers South Africa • Industry Issues and Events • Non-events 3. THE WAY FORWARD: 2011 & BEYOND • Global Trends • Economic Growth Path • Service Delivery Framework
INTRODUCTION • Spotlight on Infrastructure/service delivery challenges • T Manual : “Fail to deliver services despite adequate funding” CESA • 2009 : Talk 2010 : Walk 2011 : Work • Focus on participating to grow SA • “PARTNERING FOR GROWTH”
Industry Confidence Source: CESA BECS, BER
Fee income earned by Sub-disciplines: % ShareDecember 2010 Question: What type of work did your company engage in during the past 6 months? Source: CESA BECS
Fee earnings by sector: Market Share Dominated by transport and commercial sector
Provincial Market Share: December 2010 Vs change in market share from December 2009 Income distribution per province GAIN market share
Fee income earned by type of client % Share Local (SA) Income distribution per fee paying client type, during the past 6 months
Competition in tendering During July – December 2010 competition for work was (Tick selection)
Bursaries % of Salary / Wage bill
Training (Direct costs) % of Payroll
Industry Capacity Utilisation Of existing technical staff
Fee income outstanding for more than 90 days (including foreign fee income earnings)
2010 Construction Economy • Competition • Tender prices • Explore alternative markets N • R809 billion 3 year budget ?? • Public sector technical capacity • Consulting Engineering Reserve Capacity
CESA OVERVIEW • Small/New firms joining CESA • 78 new since 2009 Ave size = 12 members • Transformation • 2009 - 38% ; 2010 - 42% : 2011 to date - 55% • YPF • SABTACO • Mergers and Acquisitions amongst Firms • Globalisation of SA Firms • Young Professionals Forum
CESA OVERVIEW • Infrastructure Research • Water: Supply & Quality • Prof Grant Cawthorn: “most imminent challenge” • Energy (Cost ?) • Transportation
CESA OVERVIEW • Procurement-Procurement-Procurement-Procurem.. • Procurement Road Show : Successful • 600 Reports from members • Bring back Quality ! ! • CESA acting as CIDB agent : MOU signed
CESA OVERVIEW • Conference on Alternative Delivery Mechanisms • Business Integrity • Talking talking ..... but walking ? • CESA code of conduct • Integrity pact : Commit to good Governance (Busa + CIDB) • Sustainability guidelines • Small Company Workshop
CESA OVERVIEW • School of Consulting Engineering • 124 courses • 2 000+ delegates • Candidate Academy for Mentors & Mentees • Certificate in Consulting Engineering Management • Client Liaison & Access to Decision Makers • Panels of Expert Members • Media Coverage (R5 million) ---
2010 Industry Events/Issues • Soccer World Cup • Engineering Excellence • Legacies & Lessons • Co-operation/Partnerships • Strategic and capital project planning • National Planning Commission • CESA keen to participate
2010 Industry Events/Issues • The Green Wave • 83% of SA emissions from energy sector • 30 Facilities contribute 95% of all SA emissions • SA carbon intensity > China, India • SA contributes 0,98% globally
2010 Industry Events/Issues • The Green Wave (cont) • Climate Change Conferences : Cancun (2010), Durban (2011) • Green house gas emissions : (Cop 15) • Carbon credits : 18 CDM (Clean Dev. Mechanisms) Projects • Carbon taxes on vehicles (Right reasons?) • Green Building Council • Green Infrastructure body ?
2010 Industry Events/Issues • BRIC + S • Population : 3,5 / 6,9 Billion ( 51%) • 40% of World economy • C =2; B=7; I=10; R=11; SA=28th biggest globally • Commodity driven
2010 Non - events • Construction Industry Charter • Municipal Systems Amendment Bill (in the “Z” file) • Service Delivery • Protests • Unspent budgets: Job losses ..... R12.4 bn • Turn around interventions • Professional Technical Leadership 5 100 1 800
2010 Non - events • Register of Built Environment Professionals (CIDB) • Identification of Work (ECSA/CBE) • CETA Governance /Value ?
2011: The Way Forward According to Thomas Malthus “ World is fast heading for a food crisis leading to mass starvation. ” Circa 1750 Oxfam International Report “Who will feed the World?” 5 May 2011
2011: The Way Forward • Global Trends • West East (G7 E7) • Examples visible • Future alliance partners • Global Competition in SA • Africa • Increased world focus on Africa • Strong growth • Corridor developments
2011: The Way Forward • South Africa • Acc to Int’l Fin Corp: “Doing business”: 34th /183 • SA Economic Growth Rate below average • Skills • Municipal Elections : delays • Corruption is out of hand
2011: The Way Forward • New Growth Path • Infrastructure is cornerstone • Jobs during Construction : 7 jobs per R1 million • Jobs to operate and maintain over lifespan • Improves Productivity • Attracts investment : more jobs • Unease about kicking the goals
2011: The Way Forward • 30 000 engineering graduates 2014 ? • 2010 : 2 500 engineering graduates pa • Enhance Quality of Educators • Private sector will respond 33 28 23 18 13 8 Number of graduates GFCF as a % of GDP Civil Engineering graduations - UCT South Africa’s GFCF as a % of GDP
2011: The Way Forward Service Delivery Framework : 5 frames • Professionalise Public Service • Deployment • Technical professionals for technical positions • 5 Year Contracts
2011: The Way Forward 2. Infrastructure planning/programming • 1.Too few South Africans work • 2.The quality of school education for most black people is sub-standard • 3.Poorly located and inadequate infrastructure limits social inclusion and faster economic growth • 4.Spatial challenges continue to marginalise the poor
2011: The Way Forward • 5.South Africa’s growth path is highly resource-intensive and hence unsustainable • 6.The ailing public health system confronts a massive disease burden • 7.The performance of the public service is uneven • 8.Corruption undermines state legitimacy and service delivery • 9.South Africa remains a divided society
2011: The Way Forward 3.Innovative Planning by Government
2011: The Way Forward 4. Appropriate construction procurement models
2011: The Way Forward 4. Appropriate construction procurement models (cont) • PPP’s • Framework Agreements (CIDB Procurement Note 15 of 2008/10) • Target Cost Contracting • International Experience • S A Experience • Reduce Client Management Resource Needs • Meet social objectives
2011: The Way Forward 5. Cultivate a mutually trusting relationship between Private and Public Sector
????????????????????????????????????????????? Can we Succeed? ?????????????????????????????????????????????
????????????????????????????????????????????? If she can, we can! Bit by Bit ?????????????????????????????????????????????
‘PARTNERING FOR GROWTH’ THANKS
CONCLUSION • Outlook improving after World Cup Paralyses • Shortage of Technical leadership • CESA Members employ 21 200 experienced infrastructure design and management experts • CESA is keen to partner with its clients to grow South Africa Let’s WORK TOGETHER ‘KOM ONS WERK SAAM’
33 28 23 18 13 8 Number of graduates GFCF as a % of GDP Number of graduates Civil Engineering graduations - UCT South Africa’s GFCF as a % of GDP