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Chapter 8

Business Cycles. Chapter 8. Figure 8.1 A business cycle. Table 8.1 NBER Business Cycle Turning Points and Durations of Post–1854 Business Cycles. Figure 8.2 GDP growth, 1960-2009.

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Chapter 8

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  1. Business Cycles Chapter 8

  2. Figure 8.1 A business cycle

  3. Table 8.1 NBER Business Cycle Turning Points and Durations of Post–1854 Business Cycles

  4. Figure 8.2 GDP growth, 1960-2009 Source: Authors’ calculations from data on real GDP from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database, research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/GDPC1.

  5. Figure 8.3 Standard deviation of GDP growth, 1960-2009 Source: Authors’ calculations from data on real GDP from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database, research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/GDPC1.

  6. Figure 8.4 Chicago Fed National Activity Index, 1967-2009 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Web site, www.chicagofed.org/economic_research_and_data/cfnai.cfm.

  7. Summary 10

  8. Figure 8.6 Cyclical behavior of the index of industrial production Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/INDPRO.

  9. Figure 8.7Cyclical behavior of consumption and investment Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2seriesPCDGCC96 (durable goods), PCNDGC96 (nondurable goods), PCESVC96 (services), and GPDIC1 (investment).

  10. Figure 8.8Cyclical behavior of civilian employment Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CE16OV.

  11. Figure 8.9 Cyclical behavior of the unemployment rate Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/UNRATE.

  12. Figure 8.10 The job finding rate, 1976–2009 Source: Shigeru Fujita and Garey Ramey, “The Cyclicality of Separation and Job Finding Rates,” International Economic Review, May 2009, pp. 415–430; data updated by Shigeru Fujita.

  13. Figure 8.11 The job loss rate Source: Shigeru Fujita and Garey Ramey, “The Cyclicality of Separation and Job Finding Rates,” International Economic Review, May 2009, pp. 415–430; data updated by Shigeru Fujita.

  14. Table 8.2Jobs Lost and Gained In an Expansion and a Recession

  15. Figure 8.12Cyclical behavior of average labor productivity and the real wage Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 series OPHNFB (productivity) and COMPRNFB (real wage).

  16. Figure 8.13 Cyclical behavior of nominal money growth and inflation Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2 series M2SL and CPIAUCSL.

  17. Figure 8.14Cyclical behavior of the nominal interest rate, 1947–2009 Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis FRED database at research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/TB3MS.

  18. Figure 8.15Industrial production indexes in six major countries, 1960–2009 Source:International Financial Statistics, August 2009, from International Monetary Fund (with scales adjusted for clarity). Note: The scales for the industrial production indexes differ by country; for example, the figure does not imply that the United Kingdom’s total industrial production is higher than that of Japan.

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