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Assessment of BMD Global capabilities. Missile Defence as a Factor in Establishing a New Security Environment International Conference Moscow , 3-4 May 2012 Colonel-General V.V. Gerasimov. Briefing Objectives. Presenting the findings from the assessment of global BMD capabilities

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assessment of bmd global capabilities

Assessment of BMD Global capabilities

Missile Defence as a Factor in Establishing a New Security Environment

International Conference

Moscow, 3-4 May 2012

Colonel-General V.V. Gerasimov

briefing objectives
Briefing Objectives

Presenting thefindings from the assessment of global BMD capabilities

Highlighting the available tech opportunities to respond to missile threats in a joint manner

bmd global information capabilities
BMD Global Information Capabilities

modernizing the deployed missile warning radars

fielding mobile BMD radars

increasing thecapabilities of low orbit satellite grouping

tapping into the information resources held by allies and partners

conclusions
Conclusions

The deployed information subsystem covers the entire territory of the Russian Federation

Impediments are about to emerge and block the employment of Deterrence Forces

Subsystem’s capacities can be further enhanced

Comprehensine applicationsof the deployed information assets solidly beef up the BMD efficiency

conditions
Conditions

Missile launch lines feature research purposes

Targets’ positions are hypothetical, though close to reality

BMD assets performances get estimated through processing the available data and running comparative analyses

No use of BMD penetration aids

Calculations are built on computer models developed by the Ministry of Defense experts

conclusions13
Conclusions

Concept for a BMD posture is global in character

BMD assets in Europe and in Asia Pacific Region are elements of the global BMD system primarily intended for protection of selected sites in the US territory

BMD assets pose a threat to the Russian Strategic Nuclear Force based across Russia

Deployed BMD assets already have the capability to intercept Russian ballistic missiles

bmd assets in poland

BMD Assets in Poland

Capabilities Assessment

baseline data
Baseline Data

Hypothetical nature of developed scenarios

Launch area – south

Missile range – up to 11000 km

Targeting – east coast of the USA

BMD interceptor positions:

Poland (shooters featuring Phase 3 and 4 capabilities)

Russia (south)

slide16

Conclusion.US-bound BM trajectories appear to be outside of the killing zone for third-phase BMD shooters. Interception is impossible.

slide17

Conclusion.US-bound BM trajectories would be crossing the killing zone for fourth-phase BMD shooters. Interception in possible.

capabilities that can threaten russia
Capabilities That Can Threaten Russia

Conclusion.Russian BM trajectories would be crossing the killing zone for fourth-phase BMD shooters. Interception is possible.

bmd assets in romania

BMD Assets in Romania

Capabilities Assessment

baseline data20
Baseline Data

Hypothetical nature of developed scenarios

Launch area – south

Missile range – up to 3000 km

Targeting – South and Central Europe

BMD positions:

Romania (shooters featuring third-phase capabilities)

Russia (south)

slide21

Conclusion.South Europe-bound trajectories fall within the killing zone for third-phase BMD interceptors. Interception is possible.

slide22

Conclusion.Part of the Western Europe-bound trajectories happen to be outside of the killing zone for third-phase BMD shooters. Interception is partial.

slide23

Conclusion.Russian BM trajectorieswould be crossing fourth-phase BMD killing zone. Interception is possible

conclusions24
Conclusions

Romania-based BMD shooters featuring first and second-phase performances will have limited capabilitiesto assure protection of South Europe against missiles launched from the south

Poland-based BMD shooters featuring third-phase performances would pose a threat to the Russian Strategic Nuclear Force, while failing to assure protection of the entire Western Europe against the threat of missile strikes from the south

Close-to-Russia sea-launched BMD shooters would be posing a threat to the Russian Strategic Nuclear Force

There is room for cooperation aimed at developing an effective European-wide BMD system (development of the joint defense area)