'Black swans' presentation slideshows

Terje Aven University of Stavanger

Black swans in a risk context. Terje Aven University of Stavanger. JRC, ISPRA 21 June 2013. Talking about black swans. Aven (2013) On the meaning of a black swan in a risk context. Safety Science. Creates a lot of enthusiasm Hard negative words from some researchers.

650 views • 42 slides

The Science of Psychology

The Science of Psychology What are the aims of science and what place has psychology and statistics within it? Outline How do we come to know anything? Defining Science Characteristics Objectives and Techniques Philosophical Issues: How does science proceed? Logical Positivism Popper

932 views • 41 slides

Managerial Aspects of Enterprise Risk Management

530 views • 40 slides

Truth 2

491 views • 34 slides

The Touchstone Effect

449 views • 31 slides

Black swans, Friday the 13th, scenario analysis, and game theory workshops

493 views • 30 slides

Use of Cat-Multi-Models for the Insurance Industry

Use of Cat-Multi-Models for the Insurance Industry. Gero Michel. Conflicting Objectives: Commercial strategy: based on generating value short (to medium) term Inter-annual Variability: Many opportunities might not be profitable for one year

319 views • 24 slides

Materials for Lecture 11

Materials for Lecture 11. Chapter 6 Chapter 16 Sections 3.2 - 3.7.3, 4.0, Lecture 11 GRKS.XLSX Lecture 11 Low Prob Extremes.XLSX Lecture 11 Uncertain Emp Dist.XLSX. Risk vs. Uncertainty. Risk is when we have random variability from a known (or certain) probability distribution

381 views • 19 slides

The Black Swan 44 : Tactical Rules for Survival (and success) in Looney times

339 views • 18 slides

Contango Oil & Gas Company

Contango Oil & Gas Company. Forward Looking Information.

250 views • 16 slides

BIG YIELD HUNTING: BUYING INTO HIGH, SAFE, GROWING YIELDS WHILE OTHERS CHASE JUNK

248 views • 14 slides

Wargaming for the future

Wargaming for the future. Connections 2008 Peter P. Perla. 13 March 2008. Wargaming . Bad definition: Any type of modeling, including exercises, campaign analysis, computer simulation without players (CSWP) My (revised) definition

375 views • 13 slides

Greek Politics and Philosophy

710 views • 13 slides

Ricardo Resilience

291 views • 13 slides

iQ for intelligent lead generation

226 views • 13 slides

Mallard Mute Swan Quail

Mallard Mute Swan Quail. Vita S. (Nikopol, Ukraine). Mallard.

222 views • 9 slides

Housing finance,post sub-prime

196 views • 8 slides

Globalization Drivers

Globalization Drivers. Political Ideals and Institutions Liberalizing Cross-Border Trade and Resource Movements Expanding Technology/Singularity Development of Transglobal Services Universal Consumer Preference Market Integration and Cross National Cooperation

179 views • 1 slides

B2B E-Commerce: Supply Chain Management and Collaborative Commerce

B2B E-Commerce: Supply Chain Management and Collaborative Commerce. Chapter 12. Learning Objectives. Define the term supply chain and describe its components Describe supply chain management and its goals Identify various problems that can occur along supply chains

728 views • 0 slides

Multiple Regression Forecasts

118 views • 0 slides