'Bayesian calibration' presentation slideshows

Process-based modelling of vegetations and uncertainty quantification

1.25k views • 108 slides

Process-based modelling of vegetations and uncertainty quantification

960 views • 85 slides

8.2 kyr: Model + Data -> North American Meltwater Discharge

8.2 kyr: Model + Data -> North American Meltwater Discharge. Lev Tarasov and W. R. Peltier University of Toronto. Glacial Systems Model (GSM). Margin forcing (Dyke, 2003) Large ensemble approach Bayesian calibration of 22 model parameters against a large set of paleo proxies.

126 views • 12 slides

THE NEED FOR DATA/MODEL INTEGRATION

THE NEED FOR DATA/MODEL INTEGRATION. Retrodiction/prediction is meaningless without meaningful error bars or probability distribution of model results Major challenge for climate change assessments

192 views • 11 slides