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8.2 kyr: Model + Data -> North American Meltwater Discharge. Lev Tarasov and W. R. Peltier University of Toronto. Glacial Systems Model (GSM). Margin forcing (Dyke, 2003) Large ensemble approach Bayesian calibration of 22 model parameters against a large set of paleo proxies.
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8.2 kyr: Model + Data -> North American Meltwater Discharge Lev Tarasov and W. R. Peltier University of Toronto
Glacial Systems Model (GSM) • Margin forcing (Dyke, 2003) • Large ensemble approach • Bayesian calibration of 22 model parameters against a large set of paleo proxies
Drainage topography • Fast down-slope/storage surface drainage solver: dt=100 years • Coarse grained topography derived from HYDRO-1K DEM
Summary Atlantic and Arctic discharge “appear to have little impact” during late deglacial stage Does -8.2 kyr event result just from outburst flood or from large sustained discharge over more than 200 years? Especially given “phase delay between outburst flood and inferred climate event”