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Presentation to the World Bank. Annamaria Lusardi Financial Literacy Center and The George Washington School of Business December 1st, 2010. The Great Risk Shift: New Approaches to Financial Literacy. Relevance. A new economic landscape.

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presentation to the world bank
Presentation to the World Bank

Annamaria Lusardi

Financial Literacy Center and The George Washington School of Business

December 1st, 2010

The Great Risk Shift:

New Approaches to Financial Literacy

relevance
Relevance

A new economic landscape

  • Individuals are increasingly in charge of their financial well-being
    • Changes in the pension landscape
      • More individual accounts
    • Changes in the labor markets
      • Increased mobility
    • Changes in the financial markets
      • Increased complexity
the great risk shift
The “great risk shift”
  • Risk shift from the government and employer to individuals
  • How well-equipped are people to deal with this increased individual responsibility?
dealing with the new economic landscape
Dealing with the new economic landscape

Critical role of financial education

  • Levels of financial literacy are very low in both developed and developing countries
  • Financial education is essential but faces many barriers
    • Costs
    • Benefits tend to be in the long run
    • Evaluation and effectiveness
measuring financial literacy i
Measuring Financial Literacy (I)

To test numeracy and understanding of interest rates, we asked:

“Suppose you had $100 in a savings account and the interest rate was 2% per year. After 5 years, how much do you think you would have in the account if you left the money to grow?”

i) more than $102;

ii) exactly $102;

iii) less than $102;

iv) don’t know (DK);

v) refuse to answer.

measuring financial literacy ii
Measuring Financial Literacy (II)

To test understanding of inflation, we asked:

“Imagine that the interest rate on your savings account was 1% per year and inflation was 2% per year. After 1 year, would you be able to buy:”

i) more than today with the money in this account;

ii) exactly the same as;

iii) less than today

iv) DK;

v) refuse.

measuring financial literacy iii
Measuring Financial Literacy (III)

Finally, to test understanding of risk diversification, we asked:

“Do you think the following statement is true or false? Buying a single company stock usually provides a safer return than a stock mutual fund.”

i) true;

ii) false;

iii) DK;

iv) Refuse.

us national financial capability study
US National Financial Capability Study

The 2009 National Financial Capability Study includes three linked surveys:

  • National Survey: Nationally-projectable telephone survey of 1,488 American adults
  • State-by-State Survey: Online survey of approximately 25,000 respondents (roughly 500 per state + DC)
  • Military Survey: Online survey of 800 military personnel and spouses
how much do americans know
How much do Americans know?

Distribution of responses across the US population

Distribution of Responses to Financial Literacy Questions (%)

NB: Only30%correctly answer all 3 questions correctly; less than half (46%)got the first two questions right.

slide12

Financial Literacy around the World (FLat World)

These questions have been added to national surveys in:

  • Germany
  • The Netherlands
  • Italy
  • Sweden
  • Japan
  • New Zealand
  • Russia
  • India

Findings are similar (or worse) than in the United States

how much do the dutch know
How much do the Dutch know?

Distribution of responses across the Dutch population

Distribution of Responses to Financial Literacy Questions (%)

NB: Less than half(45%)correctly answer all 3 questions correctly; 73%got the first two questions right.

how much do germans know
How much do Germans know?

Distribution of responses across the German population

Distribution of Responses to Financial Literacy Questions (%)

NB: Only53%correctly answer all 3 questions correctly; 72%got the first two questions right.

linking financial literacy to behavior
Linking Financial Literacy to Behavior
  • Debt and debt management
  • Investments
  • Planning and wealth accumulation
financial literacy and mortgages
Financial literacy and mortgages
  • Studies show that those with low literacy are more likely to take up high cost mortgages and to default on them
  • Those with low education are less likely to refinance mortgages during a period of falling interest rates
critical role of financial education
Critical role of financial education

Some important points

  • Many and interrelated financial decisions
    • Cannot focus on investment or asset building only
  • One size does not fit all
    • Large heterogeneity
  • Adult education
    • Different approach than teaching young students
some suggestions
Some suggestions
  • “How to increase the effectiveness of financial education and saving programs”.
ideal venues to provide education
Ideal venues to provide education

Where to provide financial education

  • Employer-provided financial education
    • Most people are at work
  • Financial education in school
    • Most young people are in school
    • We need education before individuals engage in financial contracts
  • Financial education by the Treasury/Central bank/Regulatory authority/SSA
    • Interest in good functioning of financial market
    • Long term horizon
financial literacy center our guiding principles
Financial Literacy Center: Our guiding principles

Financial illiteracy is widespread

One size does not fit all

A step-by-step approach is needed

Evaluation is essential

how to help people in making financial decisions
How to help people in making financial decisions
  • The Dartmouth Project
    • Simplify financial decisions
    • Provide information when needed by individuals
    • Target specific groups
    • Use communication that does not rely on figures and numeracy
slide22

The Dartmouth Project: Planning Aid

Together with Punam Keller, I designed a planning aid intended to help college staff enroll in the college supplementary retirement account (SRA)

slide23

The Dartmouth Project: Planning Aid

Most people plan on electing a supplemental retirement account, but feel they don’t have the time or information right now. We have outlined 7 simple steps to help you complete the election process. It will take between 15 – 30 minutes, from start to finish. It will take less time for you to start to insure your future than it takes you to unload your dishwasher!

Don’t give up! Contact the Benefits Office (6-3588) if for any reason you could not complete the online application.

It takes no time to prepare for your lifetime!

in their own words four stories
In their own words : Four stories
  • Ron Whitcomb works in Facilities Operations & Management's Custodial Services. He has been with the College for fourteen years.

Topics discussed:

  • Hopes for Retirement
  • Parents as Role Models
  • Why I Save
  • Ron's Recommendations
  • Planning for the Future
program effectiveness
Program Effectiveness

There was a large increase in savings enrollment within 30 and 60 days of hiring among participants who received the brochure

five steps to planning success
Five Steps to Planning Success

Harness the power of interest compounding

Account for the effects of inflation

Diversify your portfolio

Take advantage of tax-favored assets

If you have a 401(k) plan, take advantage of any employer matches

The earlier these 5 steps are practiced, the greater their benefits

personal narratives
Personal Narratives
  • Psychological and social marketing research suggest that personal narratives could inspire behavior change
  • Power of narratives
    • Social cognitive theory: vicarious experience (behavioral modeling) can increase self-efficacy and behavior change (Bandura, 1989)
    • Role model stories are a central element in HIV education and other prevention campaigns (Corby, Enguidandos, Kay 1996)
    • Can create cognitive involvement & emotional immersion, change minds, and generate a desire to change course (Bruner, 1987)
    • Widely adopted in adult education with demonstrated effects on motivation, comprehension, and even recall (Norris et al. 2005; Davidhizar & Lonser 2003)
    • Outperform argument ads in promoting mental health literacy and improving health comprehension for poor readers (Michielutte et al. 1992)
short videos
Short Videos
  • Step 3: Risk diversification = don’t put all your eggs in one basket
evaluation
Evaluation

Tested interventions using American Life Panel

Baseline quiz on 5 steps

Randomly assigned

Intervention group

2 steps as video only, 2 narratives only, 1 video & narrative

Control group

No intervention

Repeated 5 steps quiz

simplification and communication
Simplification and communication
  • Simplify decision-making
  • Use simple communication methods
    • As simple as a traffic light
financial education in school
Financial education in school

Surveys show that the small proportion of young people who are financially knowledgeable are

Male

White

From college educated families

U.S. Financial Literacy Challenge:

Test to measure financial knowledge in participating schools

Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA)

Measure financial literacy among 15-years old in 19 countries in 2012

other online videos for faculty development and discussion
Other online videos For faculty development and discussion

Improving Financial Literacy and Quantitative Reasoning

Financial Literacy in the Quantitative Reasoning Classroom

Savings and Debt

Investment and Insurance

Good Car/Bad Car

Risky Car Deal

A Little Today

more on financial education
More on financial education

Link financial education to other programs

Entrepreneurship

Take into consideration different ways of learning

Videogames

Be realistic about outcomes

A one-time lecture does not transform individuals into “investment wizards”

financial entertainment
Financial Entertainment
  • D2D Project:

Celebrity Calamity

learning from other countries
Learning from other countries

Financial literacy web-site: A reliable, independent, and expert source of information

  • Example: New Zealand’s Sorted

http://www.sorted.org.nz/

  • New web site in the US: mymoney.gov

http://www.mymoney.gov/

concluding comments
Concluding comments

Financial literacy is a necessary skill, like reading and writing

  • Need to equip individual with tools to make decisions

- Individuals make many financial decisions and these decisions are interrelated

  • Costs of financial illiteracy at both the individual and macro level