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Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next?

Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next?. Tampa, Florida March 12th, 2006 James G. Young, M.D. Special Advisor to the Deputy Minister Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada. Will we face emergencies?. Aging and interconnected infrastructure Terrorism

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Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next?

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  1. Terrorist, Hurricanes, and Viruses, What’s next? Tampa, Florida March 12th, 2006 James G. Young, M.D. Special Advisor to the Deputy Minister Public Safety and Emergency Preparedness Canada

  2. Will we face emergencies? • Aging and interconnected infrastructure • Terrorism • Natural emergencies and global warming • Political deaths • Emerging diseases and pandemics

  3. Trends In Emergencies • More frequent • Bigger • International in scope • Complex

  4. Aging and Interconnected Infrastructure

  5. Blackout 2003

  6. Blackout Facts • August 14, 2004, 4:00 pm • 50 million people • 61,800 megawatts of load • OHIO, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New York, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Ontario • Northern portion of eastern grid • 10% of total grid

  7. The Causes • Inadequate situational awareness at First Energy • Training inadequate • Procedures inadequate • Equipment needs • Inadequate tree timing • Sagging wires because of heat • Inadequate diagnostic support along system

  8. Roles of Forensics and Policing • Assess cyber risk • Investigate physical damage • Public safety and security

  9. Terrorism • Cyber • Bombs • Biological • Chemical

  10. Land Area 1,919,443 square kilometers Population: 211 million 4th Largest in the World Muslims 90% Largest Muslim Country in World (India 2nd) GNP per Head $690 U.S. GNP Growth 2% (77 - 2001); (33 in 2001) Indonesia

  11. Jemaaj Islamiah • Aim Muslim axis – Indonesia, Malaysia, South Philippines • Links Al Qaeda • Arrest Abu Bakar Bashir • Declaration as terrorist organization

  12. Countries Involved

  13. Role of foreign countries • Scientific Expertise • Investigative Expertise • Organizational Structure and Support (e.g. computers) • Medical Aid

  14. Guerillas Fighters VersusTerrorists • Guerillas Fighters want to occupy Territory • Terrorists want to occupy Thinking

  15. Some Roles of Forensic Science in Terrorism • Who died? • Who did it? • What caused it? • How was it done?

  16. Multidisciplinary Approach To Terrorism • Shoe Bomber – Richard Reid • Analysis of Bomb • Multi-agency Re-creation • Mitochondria Hair Analysis

  17. Anthrax- Role of Science • Identify agent • Advise re decontamination • Techniques to open letters • Information re anthrax made • When anthrax made • Characteristics of anthrax • Analysis of other evidence • e.g. tape, ink, fibers, DNA, copying

  18. Immediate Effects in Ontario • Public safety • Operate government • Air space • Border problems • Economic consequences

  19. The Death Toll

  20. 9-11 Identification • > 50% • Recognition • Dental • Fingerprints • DNA • Heat • Decomposition • Volume

  21. Natural Emergencies and Global Warming

  22. Tsunamis Devastate Asia December 26, 2004

  23. Who Died? • Original numbers • Checking the numbers • Remembering to report back • Duplication • spelling • reports by relatives • countries • Individuals not reporting

  24. Identifying Bodies • 30 countries plus Thailand • Countries in support Thailand • All bodies managed same way • Agreeing on a protocol • Get message to all levels

  25. Establishing Identity • Post mortem • Ante mortem • Reconciliation process

  26. Ante Mortem • When should we begin? • All countries collect, process DNA • standard computer program • RCMP Vancouver collect, enter

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