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Adequate Yearly Progress Updates. Michigan Department of Education. NCLB Accountability Adequate Yearly Progress. Requires a Single State Accountability System Goal – 100% Proficiency at the end of 12 Years

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Adequate Yearly Progress Updates

Michigan Department of Education


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NCLB AccountabilityAdequate Yearly Progress

  • Requires a Single State Accountability System

  • Goal – 100% Proficiency at the end of 12 Years

  • States set a starting point at or above a federal minimum and set objectives for improvement


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Adequate Yearly Progress

Must meet all of the following for the district, school and subgroup:

  • Achievement

    • Meet state objective or safe harbor

    • Must meet in both Math and English Language Arts

  • 95% tested

    • Must meet in both math and English Language Arts

  • Additional Academic Indicator

    • Graduation Rate – high schools

    • Attendance – elementary and middle schools




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    Math AYP Goals Over 12 Years



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    Plans for 2005 AYP

    • Same structure and format as 2004 Report Card

    • Timeline for 2005 Report Card

      • Indicators data collection in April-May

      • Graduation Rates – EDN open now

      • Appeals start early June

      • Report Cards released for all schools in August

    • Same timeline for all schools and district AYP

    • Retooled Indicators of School Performance for 2006 Report Card


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    Plans for 2005 AYP (cont.)

    • Nonstandard accommodations will not count as participating for AYP

    • Graduation Rate based on the current formula – data collection window open

    • AYP state objective goes up


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    Plans for 2005 AYP (cont.)

    • Minimum n

      • Based on 1% of enrollment where enrollment is over 3,000

    • Alternate Assessments – 1% Rule

      • count Phase 1 proficient FIRST

      • MDE applied for federal approval for more than 1%

      • New Federal Flexibility – Waiting for Guidance


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    Graduation Rates

    • CEPI is NOW accepting data for 2003-2004 graduation rates

    • The Pupil Headcount Report correction and submission window is:

      • March 1, 2004 through May 16, 2004

    • These graduation rates will be used for AYP on the 2005 Report Card

    • No report card appeals will be accepted on graduation rates

    • It is planned that the 2004-05 graduation rates will come directly from SRSD.


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    AYP ReliabilityMargin of Error

    • Sources of Error

      • Measurement Error

        • Would the student score the same if tested again?

        • Standard Error of Measurement

      • Sampling Error

        • Does the sample of students tested reflect the whole school?

        • Standard Error of Proportion with Finite Sampling Error Correction




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    Preview of 2005-06 AYP

    • 1st year of 3-8 assessment

    • Will new AYP objectives be needed?

      • An impact analysis will be needed

      • A new objective will have only 9 years to 100% proficiency

    • AYP – Use all scores for a school

      • Cannot ignore valid scores

      • Group size rule may be modified

      • Full Academic Year rule may be modified

    • How will feeder reports be used for accountability?


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    School AYP Summary2003 and 2004


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    AYP by Phase 2003 and 2004



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    Student Groups and AYP

    • AYP is a status model with a moving bar

    • It is not necessary to for the school or group to make improvement each year

    • A school or district can have an achievement gap and still make AYP


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    Student Groups for AYP

    • Racial/Ethnic Groups

      • Black or African American

      • American Indian or Alaska Native

      • Asian, Hawaiian Native, or Pacific Islander

      • Hispanic or Latino

      • White

      • Multi-racial or other ethnicity

    • Limited English Proficient

    • Special Education

    • Economically Disadvantaged




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    Tips for Group Comparisons

    • Compare Group to Group – NOT Group to Whole

    • Continuous comparison vs. Categorical Comparison

      • Percent Proficient vs. scale score distribution

    • Is the comparison reliable?

      • Number tested?

      • Is the difference within the confidence interval?

    • Protect Confidentiality


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    Data Visualization

    • Grouped Bar Chart

    • Error Bars

    • Histogram

    • Box and Whiskers

    • Cumulative Distribution Frequency


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    School DataGrade 8 Mathematics 2004









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    Racial/Ethnic Box & Whiskers




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    Contact Information

    Paul Bielawski

    Office of Educational Assessment and Accountability

    Michigan Department of Education

    PO Box 30008

    Lansing, MI 48909

    (517) 335-5784

    [email protected]


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