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Adequate Yearly Progress Updates. Michigan Department of Education. NCLB Accountability Adequate Yearly Progress. Requires a Single State Accountability System Goal – 100% Proficiency at the end of 12 Years

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adequate yearly progress updates

Adequate Yearly Progress Updates

Michigan Department of Education

nclb accountability adequate yearly progress
NCLB AccountabilityAdequate Yearly Progress
  • Requires a Single State Accountability System
  • Goal – 100% Proficiency at the end of 12 Years
  • States set a starting point at or above a federal minimum and set objectives for improvement
adequate yearly progress
Adequate Yearly Progress

Must meet all of the following for the district, school and subgroup:

  • Achievement
      • Meet state objective or safe harbor
      • Must meet in both Math and English Language Arts
  • 95% tested
      • Must meet in both math and English Language Arts
  • Additional Academic Indicator
      • Graduation Rate – high schools
      • Attendance – elementary and middle schools
plans for 2005 ayp
Plans for 2005 AYP
  • Same structure and format as 2004 Report Card
  • Timeline for 2005 Report Card
    • Indicators data collection in April-May
    • Graduation Rates – EDN open now
    • Appeals start early June
    • Report Cards released for all schools in August
  • Same timeline for all schools and district AYP
  • Retooled Indicators of School Performance for 2006 Report Card
plans for 2005 ayp cont
Plans for 2005 AYP (cont.)
  • Nonstandard accommodations will not count as participating for AYP
  • Graduation Rate based on the current formula – data collection window open
  • AYP state objective goes up
plans for 2005 ayp cont10
Plans for 2005 AYP (cont.)
  • Minimum n
    • Based on 1% of enrollment where enrollment is over 3,000
  • Alternate Assessments – 1% Rule
    • count Phase 1 proficient FIRST
    • MDE applied for federal approval for more than 1%
    • New Federal Flexibility – Waiting for Guidance
graduation rates
Graduation Rates
  • CEPI is NOW accepting data for 2003-2004 graduation rates
  • The Pupil Headcount Report correction and submission window is:
    • March 1, 2004 through May 16, 2004
  • These graduation rates will be used for AYP on the 2005 Report Card
  • No report card appeals will be accepted on graduation rates
  • It is planned that the 2004-05 graduation rates will come directly from SRSD.
ayp reliability margin of error
AYP ReliabilityMargin of Error
  • Sources of Error
    • Measurement Error
      • Would the student score the same if tested again?
      • Standard Error of Measurement
    • Sampling Error
      • Does the sample of students tested reflect the whole school?
      • Standard Error of Proportion with Finite Sampling Error Correction
preview of 2005 06 ayp
Preview of 2005-06 AYP
  • 1st year of 3-8 assessment
  • Will new AYP objectives be needed?
    • An impact analysis will be needed
    • A new objective will have only 9 years to 100% proficiency
  • AYP – Use all scores for a school
    • Cannot ignore valid scores
    • Group size rule may be modified
    • Full Academic Year rule may be modified
  • How will feeder reports be used for accountability?
student groups and ayp
Student Groups and AYP
  • AYP is a status model with a moving bar
  • It is not necessary to for the school or group to make improvement each year
  • A school or district can have an achievement gap and still make AYP
student groups for ayp
Student Groups for AYP
  • Racial/Ethnic Groups
    • Black or African American
    • American Indian or Alaska Native
    • Asian, Hawaiian Native, or Pacific Islander
    • Hispanic or Latino
    • White
    • Multi-racial or other ethnicity
  • Limited English Proficient
  • Special Education
  • Economically Disadvantaged
tips for group comparisons
Tips for Group Comparisons
  • Compare Group to Group – NOT Group to Whole
  • Continuous comparison vs. Categorical Comparison
    • Percent Proficient vs. scale score distribution
  • Is the comparison reliable?
    • Number tested?
    • Is the difference within the confidence interval?
  • Protect Confidentiality
data visualization
Data Visualization
  • Grouped Bar Chart
  • Error Bars
  • Histogram
  • Box and Whiskers
  • Cumulative Distribution Frequency
contact information
Contact Information

Paul Bielawski

Office of Educational Assessment and Accountability

Michigan Department of Education

PO Box 30008

Lansing, MI 48909

(517) 335-5784

bielawp@michigan.gov