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Emerging Technolog ies and AI

Emerging Technolog ies and AI. 1. Thes i s. “Whoever becomes the leader in this [AI] sphere will become the ruler of the world” Russian President Vladimir Putin.

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Emerging Technolog ies and AI

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  1. Emerging Technologies and AI 1

  2. Thesis “Whoever becomes theleader in this [AI] sphere willbecome the ruler of theworld” Russian President VladimirPutin In a great power competition, it is imperative now, more than ever, that the U.S. promote favorable conditions to preserveour advantage in AI and other critical emerging technologies to sustain NationalSecurity. “AI...will lead to aprofound militaryrevolution...” Lt Gen Liu Guozhi, Director Central MilitaryCommission, S&T 2

  3. ArtificialIntelligence 3

  4. Key Elements • Big Data • -Who has the data? • - Use of Synthetic data • Algorithms • - March towards complete openness • - University/Community of Interest? • Computing Power Revolution • - CPUs • - GPUs • - Quantum Computing and qubits • Edge vs Cloud vs IOT • - Size/weight/power • - Transmission band width/the 5G revolution and beyond

  5. Levels of AI • Narrow AI • - single task • - repetitive; the dull, dirty and dangerous • General AI • - approaching human like thinking • - some inferential thinking • - impact on workforce • Super AI • - True deep learning/neuromorphic or quantum learning • - OODA loop becoming DOOA loop • - Speed speedspeed

  6. Key AI Issues • Trust • - human machine teaming • - collaborative decision-making • - increasingly on the edge? • Explainability • - Uber (and other) accidents • - Bias (confirmation and others) • - Trolls and other malign efforts to polarize • Ethics • Person in the loop • Lethality

  7. Applying ArtificialIntelligence 7

  8. Artificial Intelligence HypeCycle Plateaureached: 10+years 2 – 5years DeepLearning CognitiveCyber Brain Computer Interface GeneralAI Autonomous Driving (Level4) NarrowAI Expectations Time 8

  9. P A tRI S-SACLAY 1Govcrn nt.fund,g:$3_25billion SIILICQN VAl!..i!E.Y 8QSTQN Ventur Vi ntum c pit.a l! $ 11. 2 btllon V ntu . c plitail- $ 3 -6 b l111on C 1P-1 16 m t!ILOVI Top eompanl .s: EADS, Siemns ; Akamal..Geni:yme : Goog1•Apple • Key fct&, • " 64% orelgin wo1ers • 171POs102012 • Key fact, • Mostu_s.,biomedicalfundng • 85colleges ·nduniversiies • Key tac" • Construction beg n rn2013 Ke y ta ctsi Slar1up lnitia, iva , c;rea te a rn 20o ,. i40 t chnologiyc:ot111panlos • Two-s-quare-llli.itorneterc: • r,gfng s !( ongle@in ng pus schools • Taxb:re s to pri\la e lni..,es os [ I SRA,EL V nture e p,ital;$1brlllon , I BAINGALORE B E ,I J ! NG SKOLKOVO INNIOVATiONCITY Governm ntftindl g: $2.5t,"lllon Venture caphta 'I; S300mJJJlon • Top comp n -s:: 13.aJdu, Lonovo Y ract-· • 70 colleges nd unwel"'Sitl.es • " 30 % c Chin ·s V1enture rundlng • " 14 . 5 millionlnternf;lt user:,,. Topca mpan s1Waz-0.Tova Top c,om p a·n-s: In fo sy s , Wipro "fop c.,ompan s· IB M . Rusnno • Keytt!c-; • lntiemet,us er.:s up 26% per yer • " 3-.876 per capl a income UncHa) Over 10,000•• millionlrtilll> • Kei,fac- • Founded In2'0 10 • 900-acre I nov-at10ncenter • U er'$ 'ly (Ire,$ Q.l'lfli:;I by MI T • Key-1: C l • 230,000 nign te oh woril<ers "c-omput mll tarytra,nlng • "$25 billion in- ecn n et1og yQXPQll1::S

  10. US / China InnovationEcosystems Statist with heavy CCP intervention+ limited individual protections= CIV-MIL fusion Laissez-Faire with limited USG intervention = High-powered, independent multinationalcompanies

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