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3. What do you want your post-retirement standard of living to be?. Realistic strategy is to plan on having the same standard of living both pre- and post-retirement. Retirement Income Options for Discretionary Retirement Savings?. Typical Considerations include:
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3. What do you want your post-retirement standard of living to be? • Realistic strategy is to plan on having the same standard of living both pre- and post-retirement.
Retirement Income Options for Discretionary Retirement Savings? • Typical Considerations include: • minimizing risk (via diversification) • minimizing taxes • some liquidity • ease of transfer upon the death of the retiree
What happens to my property if I die without a will? • Probate • Legal process required to administer an estate or a will • Only legal way to change the title when the owner has died • Costly • $1500-$2000 for the average estate in Utah • Time consuming • National average = 9 months – 2 years • UT typically 2-3 months • Source: Kyle H. Barrick, estate planning attorney
Intestate Succession Laws • Intestate succession laws • Property transfers with no will according to the law of the state in which you reside • Surviving spouse; descendents; parents; descendents of parents; ½ to each set of grandparents or descendents of grandparents; state of Utah school fund • 120 – hour survival rule • If you do not survive the decedent by 120 hours, you are treated as predeceasing the decedent • Step-parent rules • If decedent has descendents that are not descendents of the surviving spouse, the spouse inherits $50,000 plus ½ of the balance of the remaining estate
Property Ownership Transfer Laws • Joint tenancy with rights of survivorship (JTWROS) • John and Mary will inherit from each other • Tenancy in common • John leaves his portion to Susie • Mary leaves her portion to Bobby • If it is not specified, Utah law assumes tenancy in common
Another interpretation of PVA • The present value of an annuity (PVA) calculation answers the following question: • How much do I need to have invested today so that I can withdraw a certain sum each year for a specified time period?
Suppose • you aspire to have a post-retirement consumption per year (FV) of $30,000, • A life expectancy of 30 more years after retirement (n), and • A real rate of return on investments of 3% • PVA = $588,013
4. What interest rate will you get on retirement investments? • Difficult to answer with high degree of accuracy because • of investment risks • But remember… • The real rate of return on ALL financial investments has averaged 3.5% over the last 100 years • And the real rate of return on stock market investments has averaged 7 % over the last 100 years
5. What other retirement saving is being done for you? • Social Security • Private Pension Plans • There are some elements of risk associated with each of these...
Risks with mandatory savings plans... • Social Security • solvency of plan in the future • future changes in eligibility rules • Private Pension Plans • DB plans and default risk - Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation • DB plans and vesting requirements / portability
6. When will you start to save? • The present value payment (PVP) formula: • Suppose… • savings goal = FV = $588,013 • r = 3%
6. When will you start to save? • If you save over a 20 year period • PVP = $21,833 per year • If you save over a 30-year period • PVP = $12,359 per year • If you save over a 40-year period • PVP = $7,798 per year • The earlier you start investing for retirement, the less you must personally invest
One more example… • Try it with r=7%, n=40, FV=$588,013 • $2,945 per year
Just remember… • Increased retirement savings = • Increased Freedom • Don’t rely on the govt or an inheritance • Take responsibility for yourself • ANYONE can become a millionaire • It’s all about choices
How much should you invest for retirement? • A common benchmark figure used by financial planners is 10% of your income • This assumes that your income will grow at a 7% real r before retirement and 3% real r after retirement • Assumes the same pre- and post-retirement consumption
But, this savings goal may be more daunting if... • Labor force participation is intermittent • reduces Social Security and risks eligibility • reduces likelihood of vesting in a private pension plan (temptation to cash out if option offered!) • Earnings are low • high opportunity costs of investing for retirement • can’t capitalize on tax advantages of defined contribution plans, IRA’s, etc.
Who’s at Greatest Risk of Under-Saving for Retirement? • Women • Greater discontinuities in labor market work • More likely to think of husband as being the only one who needs to have retirement savings because he is consistent wage earner. • Reliance on Social Security dependent benefits as “retirement savings” • Greater longevity
But… • four out of five women who do not end their marriages through divorce will out-live their husbands • these women on average will live another 15 years (with little prospect of remarriage) • In those households where husbands have private pension plans, 60% do not continue after his death
Social Security benefits are also cut back when a spouse dies • Roughly 1/3 of all newly widowed women who were non-poor prior to their husbands’ deaths experience one or more years of poverty in the first five years after they become widows • BOTTOM LINE - Saving for retirement is critical for women
Pros fess up to their retirement-building blunders • USA Today 9/23/07 • Mark Zandi (Chief Economist at Economy.com) • Mistake: Letting savings languish • He saved in low-yielding cash instruments through his 30s • Wishes he had set up automatic transfers to a stock index fund
Sheryl Garrett (founder of Garrett Planning Network: fee-only financial planners for middle income consumers) • Mistake: Investing in time shares • Skip the freebies and don’t get caught up in the pitch • Time shares are more expensive than you think
Tom Gardner (founder of The Motley Fool) • Mistake: Selling too soon • Think of yourself as an investor in the business, and not an investor in stock • Quotes Buffett saying, “I would have made more money if I had never sold a share of stock I’d bought since I was 11 years old. I lost a lot of money fiddling around.”
Robert Willens (managing director Lehman Bros) • Mistake: Waiting too long to sell • Have a stop-loss in your head: I will sell if it loses this much… • Jim Gillespie (CEO of Coldwell Banker) • Mistake: Begin saving too late • Start now! Don’t wait for 8-10 years
Robert Rodriguez (manager of FPA funds) • Mistake: Overconfidence • Always be suspicious – don’t think you know more than you really do