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Explore the aftermath of Typhoon Rammasun in the Philippines in July 2014, focusing on timely anticipatory actions taken, lessons learned from past disasters, and the importance of disaster preparedness and resilience.
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REMEMBERINGNINE OF THE WORST NATURAL DISASTERS . Part 3. (in terms of casualties) Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA
AUGUST 1975 TYPHOON NINA AND BANQAIO DAM FAILURE:CHINA • DEATH TOLL ESTIMATED AT 229,000.
Fast Forward to 2015 GLOBAL GOAL: Implementing the Post-2015 Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction From WCDRR
CAUSES OF RISK WIND AND WATER PENETRATE BUILDING ENVELOPE UPLIFT OF ROOF SYSTEM FLYING DEBRIS PENETRATES WINDOWS STORM SURGE TYPHOONS HEAVY PRECIPITATION GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORIES FLASH FLOODING (MUDFLOWS) LANDSLIDES (MUDFLOWS)
EXAMPLE: SUPER TYPHOON HAIYAN - - -A DISASTER LABORATORY FOR THE PHILIPPINES IN 2013- - -PAID OFF IN 2014
SUPER TYPHOON HAIYAN DEVASTATED THE PHILIPPINES NOVEMBER 8-10, 2013
WE PERPETUATE A FLAWED PREMISE: TYPHOON DISASTERS, WHICH OCCUR ANNUALLY, SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO MAKE ANY NATION SUSCEPTIBLE TO TYPHOONS ADOPT AND IMPLEMENT POLICIES THAT WILL LEAD TO THEIR TYPHOON DISASTER RESILIENCE
FACT: IT USUALLY TAKES MULTIPLE DISASTERS BEFORE A STRICKEN NATION WILL ADOPT POLICIES TO MOVE TOWARDS TYPHOON DISASTER RESILIENCE
FACT: MOST UNAFFECTED NATIONS DON’T EVEN TRY TO LEARN ANYTHING NEW FROM ANOTHER NATION’S DISASTERS AND CERTAINLY DON’T CHANGE THEIR EXISTING POLICIES
TYPHOON RAMMASUN (a Thai term for “God of Thunder”) (AKA GLENDA locally) IMPACTED THE PHILIPPINESWednesday, July 16, 2014
Rammasun (CAT 3) was the strongest storm to threaten the country since Haiyan, a Cat-5 "super typhoon" that wiped out nearly everything in its path when it crossed over the central Philippines in November, 2013.
JULY 14 • Typhoon Rammasun (the 7th storm of 2014 to hit the Philippines) arrived at Rapu-Rapu island in the eastern province of Albay with gusts of up to 160 kph (99 mph) and sustained winds of 130 kph (81 mph) near its centre.
RAMMASUN WAS HEADED FOR MANILLA—THE FIRST DIRECT HIT ON THE CAPITOL IN FOUR YEARS—ON JULY 14, 2014
THE PREMISE: BY NOW, THE PHILIPPINES SHOULD HAVE LEARNED THE LESSONS FROM PAST TYPHOONS DISASTER ON WHAT TO DO BEFORE, DURING, AND AFTER A TYPHOON STRIKES
- - - (AND THEY DID!!)THE PEOPLE OF THE PHILIPPINES APPLIED THE VITAL LESSONS LEARNED8 MONTHS EARLIER FROM HAIYAN, AND MANY OTHERS
TIMELY ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS • At least 300,000 people had already fled from their homes in Albay province alone. • However, many people were unwilling to evacuate.
TIMELY ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS • Schools were closed. • International flights were cancelled. • The army was placed on high alert.
PHYSICAL DETAILS • Typhoon Rammasun, with gusts of up to 160 kph (99 mph) and sustained winds of 130 kph (81 mph) near its centre, hit land over Rapu-Rapu island in the eastern province of Albay
GOOD NEWS ON JULY 16:The eye of Typhoon Rammasun made a late shift away from Manila, significantly reducing the damage to the capitol city of 17 million people.
LESSON: THE TIMING OF ANTICIPATORY ACTIONS IS VITAL • The people who know: 1) what to expect (e.g., high-velocity winds, rain, flash floods, landslides, and storm surge),2) where and when it will happen, and 3) what they should (and should not) do to prepare will survive.
LESSON: TIMELY EARLY WARNING AND EVACUATION SAVES LIVES • The people who have timely early warning in conjunction with a community evacuation plan that facilitates getting out of harm’s way from the risks associated with storm surge, high winds, flooding, and landslides will survive.
A MAJOR FACTOR: FORTUNATELY, GOOD COMMUNICATIONS HAD MOTIVATED OVER 400,000 PEOPLE TO EVACUATE
LESSON: EMERGENCY RESPONSE SAVES LIVES • The “Uncontrollable and Unthinkable” events will always hinder the timing of emergency response operations.
LESSON: EMERGENCY MEDICAL PREPAREDNESS SAVES LIVES • Damaged hospitals and medical facilities combined with lack of clean drinking water, food, and medicine, and high levels of morbidity and mortality will quickly overrun the local community’s capacity for emergency health care.
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS • Flooded streets • Bridges washed out or impassible • Sea wall damaged • Airport closed; planes damaged on the runway • Landslides
Typhoon Rammasun’s peak winds of 150 kilometers (93 miles) per hour and gusts up to 185 kph (115 mph) caused major socio-economic impacts
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS • The Capital’s functions were shut down for a time • Downed trees • Power outages • 20,000+ Roofs ripped off • Major roads blocked by debris
LESSON: WIND ENGINEERED BUILDINGS SAVE LIVES • Buildings engineered to withstand the risks from a typhoon’s high velocity winds will maintain their function and protect occupants and users from death and injury.
SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACTS • Damage to crops (rice and corn) was estimated at around 668 million pesos, or about $15 million.
Good News: According to the Mayor of Manila, no deaths.However, 77 deaths were ultimately reported in other locations.
Search and Rescue and Relief Efforts Will be Hampered by Landslides and Damaged Road Systems LESSON: All Kinds of Things Will go Wrong During the Emergency Response Period When the Uncontrollable and Unthinkable Happen.