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Learn about the various indicators and metrics to monitor nontidal systems in the Chesapeake Bay and proposed alternatives such as the River Input Monitoring Program (RIMP) estimates and the Hydrologic Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF) Approach. Discuss load estimates, modeling approaches, and data considerations.
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Nontidal Indicators for the Chesapeake Bay Steve Preston Troy A. Keller Chesapeake Bay Program May 11, 2005
Indicators for Nontidal • Number of different indicators metrics have been created to track nontidal systems: • Flow • Trend estimates (N, P, and Sediment) • • Loads (N, P, Sediment) • Others?
Proposed Alternative • Estimate total load to the Chesapeake Bay using a combined modeling and measured approach: • River Input Monitoring Program (RIMP) estimates • • Hydrologic Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF)
Approach • Idealized watershed model to indicate major loading categories: Fall Line Above Fall Line Bay Below Fall Line
External Load Sources Atm on Bay Measured Modeled AFL point source BFL point source RIMP Bay AFL nonpoint source BFL nonpoint source
Below Fall Line - NPS • Estimate below fall line loads from nonpoint sources using a ratio approach:
Discussion Topics • Questions arising about data • Is this load estimate method acceptable? • How should we estimate loads for years without HSPF model runs? • What is the best way to estimate point source loads for non model years?