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http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3359.1 Bryan, George H., Matthew D. Parker, 2010: Observations of a Squall Line and Its Near Environment Using High-Frequency Rawinsonde Launches during VORTEX2. Mon. Wea . Rev. , 138 , 4076–4097. doi : 10.1175/2010MWR3359.1 .

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http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2010MWR3359.1

Bryan, George H., Matthew D. Parker, 2010: Observations of a Squall Line and Its Near Environment Using High-Frequency Rawinsonde Launches during VORTEX2. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 4076–4097.

doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3359.1

negative of density anomaly
(negative of) density anomaly

cap gets weaker with time as storm approaches

time

slide4

time

but surface parcels are more dense too, so CIN of a surface parcel misses the story about uncapping of PBL leading to convection

s3, s4

CIN of surface parcel