1 / 25

Choosing Global Markets

Choosing Global Markets. Xiaomin Wu and Xiaopeng Yin UIBE, China. 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction. Literature Review. Modeling and Results. Concluding Remarks. Road Map. 1 、 Introduction. Motivation: A. Observation #1: trade volume/value ↑ ; & FDI by MNCs ↑ .

mmetzler
Download Presentation

Choosing Global Markets

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Choosing Global Markets Xiaomin Wu and Xiaopeng Yin UIBE, China

  2. 1 2 3 4 Introduction Literature Review Modeling and Results Concluding Remarks Road Map Company Logo

  3. 1、Introduction • Motivation: • A. Observation #1: • trade volume/value ↑;& FDI by MNCs ↑ . • →one thing connected above: FDI to build up a “export-platform” or production base for MNCs→↑or ↓ trade. • However, the change of production (i.e. Outsourcing) ≠ the export market change. • Observation #2: • Some foreign affiliates of MNCs (results of FDI) and the headquarters of MNCs supply same market (e.g. Honda factory in Guangzhou & Japan supply the European market; etc.) • → Where is the strategic choice for global market, and are final (export) markets? Company Logo

  4. 2. Main Literature Review (brief) • 1.Hetrogeneity of firms is shown as the difference of productivities of firms currently. Their difference determines largely whether a firm can entry/stay in a market, and whether it can be an exporter (Melitz, 2003; Bernard, Eaton, Jensen& Kortum, 2005). • 2. Not only every firm can export, but the hetrogeneity (shown as the level of productivity) will affect/determine the behavior of exporting for a firm (Helpman, Melitz和Yeaple; 2004） Company Logo

  5. 2. Main Literature Review (brief) • 3. Among factors, entry cost and heterogeneity(Bernard & Jensen, 2001), or fixed cost of exporting and hetrogeneity (Helpman, Melitz & Yeaple; 2004), heterogeneityes for a firm’s decision of exporting • 4. From (Melitz , 2003; Helpman, Melitz & Yeaple; 2004), the main conclusion is: lowest productivity firm will quit from the market, the high one will stay; the higher one will sell in the foreign market, the highest one will do FDI , rather than direct exporting. • 5. Empirical evidence: for the data of foreign affiliates in China between 1998-2005, Higher productivity firm will export, and lower on will sell in the local market (Lu, Lu & Tao; 2010) (i.e. LLT model, hereafter). Company Logo

  6. 2. Main Literature Review (brief) focus Where are final markets for MNCs, which establish foreign affiliates to produce their products? Are there any constraints/conditions to restrict/change the firm’s behavior for markets choosing? Company Logo

  7. 3. Model • Model——2×2×1 model (Melitz , 2003): • Adopting LLT model (withno skilled labor and no R&D, as Melitz , 2003) • (1) 2 countries：a developed country, say, America (A), and a developing country, say, China (C) （2）2 sectors：the large one produces homogenous good A, CTR; and the small one produces hoterogenous good Y, ITR, facing the monopolistic market （3）1 input：general and homogenous labor Company Logo

  8. 3. Theoretical Model • Variables （1） : consumption level on the heterogeneous good for Country i （2）CES: （3） : total consumption level for Country i ， （4） : price for the heterogeneous good for Country i （5）Variable cost per unit: Company Logo

  9. 3. Theoretical Model • Model setting （6）For a firm: while entry the heterogeneous good sector: facing a fixed cost to establishing the factory （7）During the process of sale: if both production and sale have been completed within same country, the fixed cost for sale of the firm is:; if both production and sale have been completed in two countries, the fixed cost for sale of the firm is （8）Transportation cost: t Company Logo

  10. 3. Theoretical Model • Model setting Demand function for any heterogeneous good Y is: Company Logo

  11. 3. Theoretical Model • Solving Model • ∵ local price for good Y is: （1）Profit selling in Country A is: = （2）(Additional) Profit selling in Country C is = Company Logo

  12. 3. Theoretical Model • Solving Model （3） When the firm does FDI: if the produce good sell in Country C only, then the additional profit is: = （4） When the firm does FDI: if the produce good sell in Country A only, then the additional profit is: = Company Logo

  13. 3. Theoretical Model • Solving Model （3）When the firm does FDI: if the produce good sell in both Country A and C, the fixed cost to establish the foreign affiliates has been counted once. Then the additional profit is: =++= Company Logo

  14. 3. Theoretical Model • Solving Model To simplify all function forms, let ，Then 5 functions above will be： （1） ， （2） ， Company Logo

  15. 3. Theoretical Model • Solving Model （3） （4） （5） Company Logo

  16. 3. Theoretical Model • Additional Assumptions: （1） （2） Company Logo

  17. 3. Theoretical Model • Assumptions: （3） Company Logo

  18. 3. Theoretical Model • Let F express vertical intercepts of profit functions, thus • Letexpress slopes of profit functions, thus Company Logo

  19. 3. Theoretical Model (1) Intersection of Profit& productivity is • (2) Intersection of Profit & productivity is • (3) Intersection of Profit & Profit is Company Logo

  20. 3. Theoretical Model • (4) Intersection of Profit & Profit is • (5) Intersection of Profit & Profit is < < < < Company Logo

  21. 4. Concluding Remarks • Notes：We use (4 choices) to indicate a American firm’s strategic choices： • 1st item: if the firm produces and sell in the US: A; • 2nd item: if the firm export (sell) to China: using C; if not, using 0； • 3rd item: if the firm does FDI in China: using C; if not, using 0 ； • 4th item: For the case of FDI in China: if sell in China, using C; • if sell in the US, using A; if sell both in China and the US, using AC • From assumptions from Melitz model (Melitz, 2003; Helpman, Melitz, &Yeaple, 2004)，the direct exporting and FDI should be not occur simultaneously. So if the 2nd item is C, the 4th item should be 0. Company Logo

  22. 4. Concluding Remarks • Finding 1： • When the productivity increases, the firm will serve both domestic and foreign markets. And the higher productivity is, the more incentive to serve the foreign market. The existing conclusions from Melitz (2003) and Helpman, Melitz, &Yeaple (2004) and others held here. Company Logo

  23. Finding 2， • When the firm choose to FDI due to its high productivity, if there is any other constraint such as production capacity constraint or financial constraint, the firm optimal choice for global marketing will be shown according to its productivity order (from high to low): Company Logo

  24. 4. Concluding Remarks • Finding 3， • When the firm choose to FDI due to its high productivity, if there is no any other constraint, the firm optimal choice for global marketing will be shown according to its productivity order (from high to low): • This can explain both facts observed by Melitz etc, and LLT, without introducing R&D and intermediate goods. Company Logo

  25. Click to edit company slogan . Thank You !

More Related