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Explore the implications of current food production practices on ecological security, emphasizing the need for structural changes in policies. This text discusses the trade-offs between food production and ecological sustainability, highlighting the importance of changing production methods, technologies, and geographical focuses to ensure a sustainable future. It provides insights on developing economies' contributions to food production and the challenges posed by increasing populations. The critical question is how to transform the product-mix, technology, and geography of food production in a global context. The text suggests strategies such as enhancing carrying capacity, promoting alternative technologies, and improving income distribution across regions. It emphasizes the need to integrate ecological costs into competitive advantage frameworks and shift from food trade to investment in natural resources. Suggestions for global dialogues on food security, trade, and environmental issues are discussed, urging for a restructuring of economic growth visions. The text advocates for a global consensus on food and ecological security as a fundamental right for current and future generations.
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Structural Implements to Food and Ecological Security: Implications for Macro Policies Amita Shah Gujarat Institute of Development Research Ahmedabad, India Jeju, South Korea September 8, 2012
Global Food Security: 2012 • Enough food to feed the growing population • Through: State of the Art Technology and Intensification • Leads to Obvious Trade-Offs between Food & Ecological Security (Land, Water, Chemical Inputs, Crop-Centric, Loss of Bio-Diversity)
Need to Change • What is being produced (commodity composition) • The way food is produced(technology) • The locations (regions) where food is produced (geography)
Some Facts • Developing economy contributing to 42% of food grains + pulses; likely increase to 47% in 2030 overshooting the contribution of industrial countries • The share of developing economies is higher in the case of other products (poultry, meat & milk) and likely to increase by 2030 • 83% of the world population will be in developing countries by 2030
On Natural Resources • About 50% of the arable land is yet to be brought under cultivation. • But, the potential for area increase more or less outside the developing economies • Therefore the strategy is to: (a) intensify production (b) increase trade Both these Raise Significant Concerns for Ecological Security
Source: Fertilizer Statistics 2010-11 Note: World* is the sum of the continents. The percentage of the data from fertilizer statistics 2010-11, 56th edition Area is given in ‘000 hectares and production is given in ‘000 tonnes.
Source: Fertilizer Statistics 2010-11 Note: World* is the sum of the continents. The percentage of the data from fertilizer statistics 2010-11, 56th edition Area is given in ‘000 hectares and production is given in ‘000 tonnes.
Source: Fertilizer Statistics 2010-11 Note: World* is the sum of the continents.
The Critical Question How to Change the Product-mix; Technology; and the Geography of Food Production in an Asymmetric Global Scenario?
A Broad Answer • Enhance Carrying Capacity (Natural Resource Development) • Explore & Promote Alternative Technological Solutions • Improve Income Distribution Across Different Regions, Countries, Households Essentially, Structural Solutions
Need to Calibrate Global Trade Framework • To go beyond Profit & Subsidy • Internalise Ecological Costs within the Framework of Competitive Advantage • Replace Food Trade & Aid by Basic Investment in Natural Resources (Ecology) among Developing Economies
North-South Dialogue On Food & Ecological Security Needs to Run through All the Global Negotiations on: • Trade • Environment • Employment, Poverty, Labour Processes (MDGs) Evolve a New Political Economy; Markets Alone can not do this
Where to Begin? Best, at the National Level; To Learn & Earn Credibility
Tinkering at the Margin Does Not Help • Need to Restructure the Vision of Economic Growth and Underlying Rationale • This indeed is double as both Ecology & Technology are Adaptable to New Goals & Challenges • Calls for a Global Consensus on Food & Ecological Security as Basic Right for Present & Future Generations