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Lecture 19: Triumphalism and the 1990s

Lecture 19: Triumphalism and the 1990s. May 10, 2010. What now?. Remake the world—again? We won! Or they lost? Failure of Soviet political model Failure of empire Failure of Soviet economic model The End of History? ( Francis Fukuyama, 1989 )

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Lecture 19: Triumphalism and the 1990s

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  1. Lecture 19: Triumphalism and the 1990s May 10, 2010

  2. What now? • Remake the world—again? • We won! Or they lost? • Failure of Soviet political model • Failure of empire • Failure of Soviet economic model • The End of History? (Francis Fukuyama, 1989) • Western liberal democracy as “the final form of human government” • End of large-scale conflict involving large states • Criticism: Is liberal democracy really inevitable, or dependent on conditions? • Attraction of US system depends on attraction of US • High level of abstraction misses much of what matters

  3. US power

  4. Gulf War I: Triumph with Unforeseen Consequences

  5. Containment of Iraq

  6. Bush I’s “New World Order” Twice this century, out of the horrors of war hope emerged for enduring peace. Twice before, those hopes proved to be a distant dream, beyond the grasp of man… Now, we can see a new world coming into view. A world in which there is the very real prospect of a new world order. In the words of Winston Churchill, a "world order" in which "the principles of justice and fair play ... protect the weak against the strong ..." A world where the United Nations, freed from cold war stalemate, is poised to fulfill the historic vision of its founders. A world in which freedom and respect for human rights find a home among all nations.

  7. Multilateralism • Integrate eastern bloc into multilateral institutions • Unite Germany, expand NATO

  8. NATO Expansion

  9. Why Expand NATO? • Incentives for ex-communist bloc • Security against resurgent Russia? • Symbolism • Because it was there (sunk costs) • Dealing with emerging threats • Problem? Russia not happy

  10. Multilateralism • Integrate eastern bloc into multilateral institutions • Unite Germany, expand NATO • New trade agreements: • North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • World Trade Organization (WTO) • Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) forum

  11. What APEC is Really About

  12. Victory Day! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qoLKsB1z5Ak&feature=related

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