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INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS Perspective After Cancun

INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS Perspective After Cancun. par Michel PETIT <petit@iamm.fr>. INTRODUCTION. INTERROGATIONS AFTER CANCUN FOCUS ON AGRICULTURE Emphasis on EU and USA. ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK. POLITICAL ECONOMY APPROACH

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INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS Perspective After Cancun

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  1. INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURALTRADE NEGOTIATIONSPerspective After Cancun par Michel PETIT <petit@iamm.fr>

  2. INTRODUCTION • INTERROGATIONS AFTER CANCUN • FOCUS ON AGRICULTURE Emphasis on EU and USA

  3. ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK • POLITICAL ECONOMY APPROACH • INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS AMONG GOVERNMENTS • NATIONAL POSITIONS ARE « RESULTANTES » • THEY ARE PART OF PACKAGES DOMINATED BY DOMESTIC POLICIES • (ST and LT)

  4. ILLUSTRATION: CAP & USA I- THE EUROPEAN CAP - Rigidity of Price Support Level - Budget Constraint - Outside Pressures - Need to Come to Closure - New Societal Concerns

  5. ILLUSTRATION: CAP & USA II- US AGRICULTURAL POLICIES (Recent Events) - Farmers’ Income - Budget - International Market Share - Need Coalitions Little on Rural Development etc.

  6. INTERPRETATION OF INTERNATIONAL NEGOTIATIONS • CONFLICTS IN SUCCESSIVE GATT ROUNDS Dillon/Kennedy Tokyo Uruguay (Blair House) • FROM MARRAKECH TO CANCUN

  7. FROM MARRAKECH TO CANCUN • REVIEW OF AGRICULTURE 1999 • DEBATE ON NON-TRADE CONCERNS Multifunctionality and Food Security • DISPUTE SETTLEMENT • NEGOTIATIONS FOCUS ON THE THREE PILLARS: Market Access Export Competition Domestic Support

  8. CONCLUSION: AND NOW? • A TIME TO PAUSE AND TAKE STOCK BUT THE PEACE CLAUSE EXPIRES SOON • THE STALEMATE IS REAL • NEED TO ASSESS THE POLITICAL FEASIBILITY OF POTENTIAL COMPROMISES • FUTURE OF MULTILATERALISM IS AT STAKE

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