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Paulo Vicente LCDR/USN

BRAZIL An Economic Success Story?. Paulo Vicente LCDR/USN. Presentation Overview. Background Country Profile Political System Economy Macroeconomic Indicators Import Substitution Export Oriented Performance Challenges Economic Outlook. Map Source: http://www.interworld-brasil.com.

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Paulo Vicente LCDR/USN

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  1. BRAZIL An Economic Success Story? Paulo Vicente LCDR/USN

  2. Presentation Overview • Background • Country Profile • Political System • Economy • Macroeconomic Indicators • Import Substitution • Export Oriented • Performance • Challenges • Economic Outlook

  3. Map Source: http://www.interworld-brasil.com Background: Country Profile Former Portuguese Colony Independence Sep 1822 188 Million W-53% M-38% B-6% Roman Catholic ½ Latin America Landmass ½ S. America Population 81% Live in Urban Areas 5th Largest Country 9th Largest Economy

  4. Map Source: http://en.wikipedia.org Background: Political System 3 Branches of Government 5 Administrative Regions 26 States + 1 Federal District 81 Federal Senate 513 Chamber of Deputies 1964-85 Military Regime Voting Mandatory 15 Parties Represented Dual Transition(Political & Economic)

  5. Economy: Macroeconomic Indicators • Diversified Economy • Industry & Manufacturing (37% GDP) • Agriculture (9% GDP) • Services (53% GDP) • Energy • Hydropower Power • Nuclear Power • Ethanol • Foreign Oil

  6. $46B $8B Source: http://web.worldbank.org Economy: Import Substitution Brazil’s Economic Transition Export-Oriented Industrialization Import Substitution Industrialization Neoliberalism Mercantile Economy ISI • Protectionism • Productivity • Consequences EOI • Trade • Investment

  7. Economy: Performance (GDP) Shock Therapy Bresser Plan Real Plan Summer Plan Collor Plan II Cruzado Plan Collor Plan Recession 87-94: Hyperinflation Inflation 400% 1700% 2600% <50% Russian Crisis Political Reforms Mexican Peso Crisis Asian Crisis Argentine Crisis

  8. Challenges 22% Poverty Afro-Brazilians Poorest Literacy Rate 89% 1% Control 45% Farmland 1% gets 50% GDP Rising Crime Rates Public Security

  9. Concentration of Industries Poorer Region Half of Brazil’s Economy

  10. Economic Outlook • Opportunities • Regional Integration • Globalization • Domestic Challenges • Fragile Political System • Bureaucratic Barriers • Public Debt • Productivity • Poverty & Inequality • Global Challenges • Barriers to Trade • Regional Competitors • US & Global Economy

  11. CONCLUSION Economic Performance Source: Bertelsmann Transformation Atlas (BTA) http://www.bertelsmann-transformation-index.de/atlas.0.html?&L=1 Is Brazil an Economic Success Story?

  12. Questions?

  13. BACK UP SLIDES

  14. Economic Performance Source: Bertelsmann Transformation Atlas (BTA) http://www.bertelsmann-transformation-index.de/atlas.0.html?&L=1 Compared to Chile

  15. Inflation

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