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Status of Capacities for Climate Services Provision in the Caribbean. Adrian Trotman Chief, Applied Meteorology and Climatology Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology. National Consultation on a Framework for Climate Services in Belize 30 October to 1 November 2013,
Chief, Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology
National Consultation on a Framework for Climate Services in Belize
30 October to 1 November 2013,
Belize City, Belize.
An arm of the
Caribbean Meteorological Organisation
Seasonal Rainfall Prediction with use of climate prediction models Global and Regional
3 to 6 months forecasts
and impacts monitoring
Wet season rainfall as a percentage of annual rainfall (Enfield and Alfaro, 1999).
Moving 10 year averages of rainfall at Edgecumbe, Barbados (Burton 1995).
Impacts potentially more severe during drier phases.
Future dryer and warmer regime likely to increase frequency of drought episodes
CDPMN launched under Caribbean Water Initiative CARIWIN in January 2009 expected to be fully operational by the end of 2010
Monitoring: Caribbean SPI and Deciles(Caribbean Drought and Precipitation Monitoring Network)Prediction: Caribbean seasonal precipitation outlook (CIMH and CariCOF)
In total contrast to 2010, the 2011 and 2012 dry seasons were forecasted to be wetter than normal in the eastern Caribbean, and that is how they turned out
Focus on Drought Early Warning & Information Systems
Funded by the EU under the ACP S&T Programme
Implemented by CIMH (Project Manager), CARDI, WMO and Ten National Meteorological Services
to increase and sustain agricultural productivity at the farm level in the Caribbean region through improved applications of weather and climate information using an integrated and coordinated approach
Information providers, users and media
Crop and Irrigation Simultion
Developing forecasting systems for selected pests and diseases
Supporting management decisions such as for irrigation scheduling and quantities
Using Aquacrop and INSTAT for example
Effective Communication – Strategy involving any media that can reach farmers in a language they can understand
Also a Regional Monthly Bulletin – already 23 volumes
Preparation and dissemination of a user-friendly weather and climate bulletins and information
Daily, week ten-daily, monthly, seasonally
Print, radio, television, mobile/cellular, telecentres
Regular forums with the farming community and agricultural extension agencies to promote a better understanding of the applications of weather and climate information and feedback for Met Services
Seasonal and weather Forecasting and information, drought, irrigation, crop simulation, pests and diseases
825 participants during 27 forums engaged
Data sharing, protocols
All data to a centralised system
Database developed – To pursue light versions – Synchrony
Denser, strategic climate observation network, Global data systems, Remote Sensing
Effective Data Management and Observation System
HYDROLOGICAL / CROP MODEL
Day of Year