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Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist

Defining a List of Climate Relevant Indicators: World Bank Experience. Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) World Bank Geneva, 19 November, 2012. Categories of Indicators. Climate Exposure to impacts Resilience

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Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist

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  1. Defining a List of Climate Relevant Indicators: World Bank Experience Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) World Bank Geneva, 19 November, 2012

  2. Categories of Indicators • Climate • Exposure to impacts • Resilience • GHG emissions & energy use • National-level actions • Carbon markets

  3. Climate Indicators Included: • Temperature: historical averages, projected change • Precipitation: historical averages, projected change • Projected changes in hot & cold days/nights Also Available: • Geo-spatial historical climate data • Future GCM and ensemble data

  4. Mozambique example

  5. Exposure to Impacts • Land and population below 5 meters • Population affected by droughts, floods, extreme temperatures • Urban population • Fresh water access and irrigation • Poverty: less than $1.25/day • Health, malnutrition and disease incidence

  6. Mozambique example

  7. Resilience • Access to improved sanitation, water sources and electricity • Cereal yields • Paved roads • Health workers per capita • Foreign direct investment (FDI) and infrastructure investment • Ease of Doing Business ranking • Education completion level; male/female ratio

  8. Mozambique example

  9. GHG emissions & energy use • GHG emissions: total, per capita, per GDP/PPP • GHG contributions (sinks) from forestry and land use • Energy use: per capita, per GDP

  10. National Actions & Carbon Markets • UNFCCC National Communication • Emissions reduction pledges • NAMA (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action) submission • NAPA (National Adaptation Program of Action) submission • Renewable energy target • CDM projects & reductions • Joint implementation projects (JI) and issued emission reduction units (ERU)

  11. Mozambique example

  12. Parting thoughts… • National climate change statistics for standard tracking should allow at the minimum for a first level screening of a country's climate change risks and exposure. • This is needed both for adaptation and mitigation. • For current adaptation efforts, disaster-related climate change statistics are urgently needed to understand variability and current/future losses: GDP loss from extreme climate events, number of people affected, number killed, etc. • Globally these could ultimately be utilized to monitor any potential Sustainable Development Goal(s) related to disaster management, resilience and/or climate change adaptation.

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