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Cycles and Exponential Smoothing Models

How Good is Your Forecast?. Can your forecast beat a Moving Average?Business forecasters use Moving Average as a point of comparisonMAPE for MA modelMAPE for your modelExample of two Data SeriesX with a Moving Average MAPE of 23%Your model's MAPE of 15%Y with a Moving Average MAPE of 12%Your

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Cycles and Exponential Smoothing Models

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    1. Cycles and Exponential Smoothing Models Materials for this lecture Lecture 4 Cycles.XLS Lecture 4 Exponential Smoothing.XLS Read Chapter 15 pages 18-30 Read Chapter 16 Section 14

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