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Competitive Model: IO Support Concept to Withdrawal

Competitive Model: IO Support Concept to Withdrawal. T C/C. +. PH I: Shaping (lower threshold to resist influence) PH II: Execution (systematic reduction of capacity/capability) PH III: Sustainment (reinforcement of message). PH I: Shaping. Begin withdrawal (BW). 1. BW+2 months. 3.

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Competitive Model: IO Support Concept to Withdrawal

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  1. Competitive Model: IO Support Concept to Withdrawal TC/C + PH I: Shaping (lower threshold to resist influence) PH II: Execution (systematic reduction of capacity/capability) PH III: Sustainment (reinforcement of message) PH I: Shaping Begin withdrawal (BW) 1 BW+2 months 3 Notional major ISAF offensive (ala Marjah 2010) Potential TC/C TE without synchronized effort Gain cognitive foothold by creating ‘gap’ or relief from positive (+)TE +TE minimized, even with a recovery of TC/C 2a PHII: Execution TE + - TE TE 2 BW+18 months Conditions met to begin withdrawal Fill the gap with new opportunities (security, governance) and maintain drumbeat 4 PH III: Sustainment TE = TB Propaganda Effectiveness TC/C = TB Propaganda Capacity and Capability TC/C - Note: this is a notional scenario for illustrative purposes

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