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Bioenergy strategy: the LACAF/GSB project

IANAS 2nd Energy Meeting – Bogotá, Colombia 9-10 June 2011. Bioenergy strategy: the LACAF/GSB project. Luís Cortez Professor UNICAMP Vice Coordinator of Special Programs - FAPESP. Presentation. Introduction Presentation LACAF/GSB project collaboration: - GSB tasks - LACAF structure

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Bioenergy strategy: the LACAF/GSB project

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  1. IANAS 2nd Energy Meeting – Bogotá, Colombia 9-10 June 2011 Bioenergy strategy: the LACAF/GSB project Luís Cortez Professor UNICAMP Vice CoordinatorofSpecialPrograms- FAPESP

  2. Presentation Introduction Presentation LACAF/GSB project collaboration: - GSB tasks - LACAF structure - LACAF/GSB/IANAS collaboration

  3. Global Sustainable Bioenergy project-GSB Board: Prof. Carlos Henrique de Brito Cruz, Fapesp, Brazil (Chairman) Prof. Luuk van der Viellen, T.U. Delft, TheNetherlands Dr. Martin Keller, OakRidgeLaboratory, USA ExecutiveCommittee: Prof. Lee Lynd, DarthmouthCollege, USA Prof. PatriciaOsseweijer, T.U. Delft, TheNetherlands Prof. Luís Cortez, UNICAMP, Brazil

  4. GSB tasks Task 1. Current land inventory Task 2. Pasture intensification Task 3. Double crops Task 4. Change animal feed rations Task 5. Dietary choice & food supply chain efficiency Task 6. Energy crop productivity Task 7. Food security Task 8. Fertilizer demand, residue utilization, and soil fertility Task 9. Integrated analysis

  5. GSB Stage 2 Tasks Current Land Inventory (Foundation for other tasks) Potential Levers Fostering large scale bioenergy production Task 9 Integrated Analysis Task 6 Bioenergy Crop Productivity Available Land (Quantity & quality) Task 2 Pasture intensification Conversion (Literature) Bioenergy Production Potential (Quantity & quality) Tons Task 3 Double crops Task 4 Changed animal feed rations Literature Burned/disturbed land Land Required For Food Production Task 5 Dietary choice & food supply chain efficiency Potential Levers or/and Constraints Demand Productivity of food/feed crops Literature Potential/Perceived Showstoppers Task 7 Food security impacts Whether/How Showstoppers Can be Avoided Task 8 Fertilizer demand impacts Fuel & electricity demand and efficiency of utilization (literature)

  6. LandAvailability for bioenergy in Latin America andAfrica Sources: FAOSTAT (2008), IICA (2009), www.eclac.org. 2009

  7. Food (Grains) and Energy (Gasoline) Dependence in Latin America Source: FAO and IEA

  8. Ethanol production in Latin America Source: USDA, 2010

  9. Latin America & CaribbeanandAfricaLACAF project 1. Diagnosis of Energy and Food Situation in LA and AF & Integrated analysis Coordinator: Luiz Augusto Horta Nogueira (UNIFEI) • Why should Latin American and African countries get involved in a global effort to increase biofuels production? • How can countries in LA and AF implement the necessary actions: the cases of Colombia, Guatemala, South Africa and Mozambique? • What is the present and expected future situation of energy and food security in Latin America and Africa? • Integrating analysis for AL and AF

  10. LACAF project 2. Determining the Physical Potential for Sugarcane Ethanol Production in Latin America and Africa Coordinator: André Nassar (ICONE) • Identify potential areas to sugarcane production in African and Latin American countries; (CTC team) • Quantify the different production potential of sugarcane crops in these countries; (CTC team) • Assess the land use impacts of biofuels production in Latin America and Africa: the cases of Colombia, South Africa and Mozambique • Use a Sugarcane Crop Model and Estimate Total Sugarcane Ethanol Production in LA and AF

  11. LACAF project 3. Crop and Pasture Productivity, Improving Soil Fertility and Needs for Fertilizers Coordinator: Heitor Cantarella (APTA/IAC) • Analyzing the Increase Productivity in Agriculture: Pasture Productivity (Geraldo Martha), Sugarcane Expansion with Pasture Integration • Analyzing the Possible Impact of Advanced Technologies in Agriculture: precision agriculture, no-till, soil conditioning • Estimating the Future Inorganic Fertilizer Demand and Recycling Nutrients in Sugarcane Ethanol Production

  12. LACAF project 4. Production Models & Innovation Coordinator: Manoel Regis Lima Verde Leal (CTBE) • Defining Possible Production Models for LA and AF • Analyzing the Possible Impact of Advanced Technologies in Conversion: Celullosic ethanol, energy cane

  13. LACAF project 5. Assessing the Constraints and Benefits of sugarcane ethanol production in LA and AF Coordinator: José Antonio Scaramucci (NIPE/UNICAMP) • Agriculture and energy issues analysis in Latin America and Africa • Scenarios for future demand of food and its impacts on land use • Economic analysis of the advancement of sugarcane bioenergy in Latin America and Africa: the cases of Colombia, Guatemala, South Africa and Mozambique • Impacts on socio-economic developmentfrom Sugarcane Ethanol Production Latin America and Africa: the cases of Colombia, South Africa and Mozambique

  14. Sugarcane Ethanol in Latin America • Colombia: • The world’s second-largest sugarcane ethanol producer • Governmental regulations established a mandatory blend (E10) • Current ethanol production covers 85% of the local needs • Colombia has a great potential for sugarcane ethanol production in the East part of the country (expected lower yield than Cauca Valley) • Guatemala: • Number one producer of sugarcane in Central America • In 2009, Guatemala produced 2.38 million tons of raw sugar, of which 1.3 million tons were exported • 5 out of the 14 sugar mills are also producing ethanol, whose production reached 265 million liters in 2008 • All of the ethanol is exported, mainly to Europe and the U.S. • The domestic market for biofuels consumption has not been developed yet Sources: IICA (2009); USDA (2010)

  15. Collaboration LACAF-GSB Coordination of tasks

  16. Collaboration LACAF-GSB Analysts of tasks

  17. Collaboration LACAF-GSB Analysts of tasks

  18. Collaboration LACAF-GSB Integrating Results

  19. Collaboration LACAF-GSB Integrating Results

  20. LACAF/GSB/IANAS Collaboration • Prof. José Rincón Martinez – Coordinator in Colombia and Guatemala • Partners in Colombia: • Colciencias • CENICAÑA • Universidad Insustrial de Santander (Prof. V. Kafarov) • Fedebiocombustibles • Partners in Guatemala: • - CENGICAÑA

  21. LACAF/GSB/IANAS Collaboration • GSB tasks (defined) • LACAF structure (defined) • LACAF Teams (defined) • LACAF – GSB Collaboration (defined) • IANAS Collaboration • Other countries ? • Meetings?

  22. SugarcaneBioethanol: R&D for ProductivityandSustainability Sales byAmazon LauchedSept 2010 992 pages 76 chapters 139 authors Publisher: Ethanol PP Project:

  23. 1st Brazilian Bioenergy Science & TechnologyConference - BBEST Venue: Campos do Jordão, SP, Brazil August 14-18, 2011 http://www.bbest.org.br/

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