290 likes | 431 Views
Projected changes to coastal fisheries . Based on. Outline. Main components of coastal fisheries Indirect effects of climate change Direct effects of climate change Projected changes to coastal fisheries production Priority management measures . C oastal fisheries catch – Cook Islands.
E N D
Outline • Main components of coastal fisheries • Indirect effects of climate change • Direct effects of climate change • Projected changes to coastal fisheries production • Priority management measures
Coastal fisheries catch – Cook Islands Commercial Subsistence Source: Gillett (2006)
What are coastal fisheries? • Demersal fish • Nearshorepelagics • Invertebrates Species not considered • Deepwater snapper • Sharks
Coastal fisheries catches – Cook Islands 14 t/yr 146 t/yr 240 t/yr Pratchett et al. 2011
Demersal fish catch composition Availability Catch Percentage Pratchett et al. 2011
Indirect effects of climate change % Coral cover Area (km2)
Effects of habitat degradation 0.5 0 -0.5 -1 Macroalgae Proportional change Habitat complexity Coral cover 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Time after extensive coral loss (years)
Effects of habitat degradation 50 0 -50 -100 Macroalgae Percentage change Habitat complexity Coral reef fishes Coral cover 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Time after extensive coral loss (years)
Catch composition GeneralistsNot vulnerable Reef associatedVulnerable Coral associatedHighly vulnerable
Herbivorous fish in Cook Islands Availability Catch Percentage
Direct effects of climate change pH Temperature
Effects of temperature Growth (mg/week) Damsel fish (Acanthochromispolyacanthus) Maximum growth 28-30oC Projected increase 3oC by 2100 Temperature (oC) ZarcoPerello and Pratchett 2012
Effects of temperature • Declines in: • growth • lifespan • reproduction Fewer & smaller fishes Growth (mg/week) Maximum growth 28-30oC Projected increase 3oC by 2100 Temperature (oC) ZarcoPerello and Pratchett 2012
Effects of temperature Normal spawning temperature
Effects of ocean acidification Abalone Byrne 2012
Effects of ocean acidification Munday et al. 2012
Projected coastal fisheries productionCook Islands *Based on initial preliminary modelling for skipjack tuna
Factors affecting ciguatera • Dead coral & seaweed surfaces • Nutrients • Water temperature From land-based activities and sewage
Priority management measures • Protect structural complexity and biological diversity of coral reefs to sustain fisheries • Maintain adequate spawning stocks to help overcome shocks of greater climate extremes • Recognise ecological importance of herbivorous fish and ensure stocks are sufficient to maintain ecosystem functions
Conclusions • Coastal fisheries are important for food security and livelihoods • Effects of climate change will add to existing pressures (e.g. overfishing) • Improved catch data are needed for monitoring effects of climate change on coastal fisheries: • separate data for each main category of coastal fisheries • subsistence fisheries catches