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CBRFC May 2011 Water Supply Webinar

CBRFC May 2011 Water Supply Webinar. 1pm, May 6, 2011 Kevin Werner. These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.php. Outline. April Weather Review Snow States Water Supply Forecasts. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cbrfc.1.2011.html .

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CBRFC May 2011 Water Supply Webinar

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  1. CBRFCMay 2011Water Supply Webinar 1pm, May 6, 2011 Kevin Werner These slides: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/present/present.php

  2. Outline • April Weather Review • Snow States • Water Supply Forecasts Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cbrfc.1.2011.html

  3. Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov

  4. Web Reference: http://water.weather.gov/precip

  5. Snow: Percent of average April 7 April 20 April 27 May 4 Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?scon=checked

  6. Snow: Percentile Rankings April 7 April 20 April 27 May 4

  7. Snow: Upper Green Basin (above Flaming Gorge) Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  8. Snow: Yampa Basin Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  9. Snow:Colorado Mainstem (above Cameo) Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  10. Snow:Colorado above Granby Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  11. Snow:Gunnison Basin Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  12. Snow:San Juan Basin Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  13. Snow: Bear River Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  14. Snow: Cache Valley Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  15. Snow: Weber River Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  16. Snow:Six Creeks in Salt Lake County Web Reference: http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/station/sweplot/sweplot.cgi???open

  17. Snow Maps Web Reference: http://www.nohrsc.nws.gov

  18. Forecast Precipitation • Active weather period continues!! • Warm, dry weather lasts through Saturday. Saturday will be quite warm • Long duration storm sets up Sunday through Wednesday? Next week. Warm to start but cools off. Additional snow accumulation expected above 7000’ Web Reference: www.hpc.noaa.gov

  19. La Nina Update Web Reference: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov and iri.columbia.edu/climate/ENSO

  20. May 1, 2011 • Water Supply Forecasts • Highlights: • Wet winter + April has led to significant rises in most forecasts Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  21. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  22. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  23. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  24. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  25. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  26. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  27. 5820/191% 6480/160% • Average contribution to Lake Powell Apr-Jul inflow: • Green River-Green River, UT 34% • Colorado River-Cicso, UT 50% • San Juan River-Bluff, UT 13% 875/84%

  28. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  29. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmapm.php?wcon=checked

  30. Online Publication Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cpub.php

  31. Web Reference: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/wsup/pub2/map/html/cpub.php

  32. Peak Flow Forecasts April 1 May 5

  33. “raw” model peak flow forecasts: • 50% is median forecast • -10% is a better case scenario • -90% is a worser case scenario

  34. CBRFC News • Basin Focal Points (Available to discuss forecasts: 801.524.5130) • Upper Colorado: Brenda Alcorn • Green: Ashley Nielson • San Juan / Gunnison: Tracy Cox • Great Basin: Brent Bernard • Lower Colorado (below Lake Powell): Greg Smith • Notes: • Weekly ESP model guidance • Email product updates via govdelivery (now including peak flow forecasts) • Changes to CBRFC webpage: www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/gmap/gmap3.php • Blog (blog.citizen.apps.gov/cbrfc)

  35. More Resources • www.cbrfc.noaa.gov • Wateroutlook.nwrfc.noaa.gov • Weather.gov (for current flood watches and warnings) • Peak flow webinar: 11am, Wednesday May 11 • June water supply webinar if requested

  36. Kevin Werner CBRFC Service Coordination Hydrologist Phone: 801.524.5130 Email: kevin.werner@noaa.gov Feedback, Questions, Concerns always welcome….

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