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Hardwood Exports: A Global Perspective Michael S Snow Executive Director AHEC. AHEC ’ s Global Reach. London. Washington, DC. Beijing. Osaka. Seoul. Mexico City. Hong Kong. U.S. Hardwood Exports 1986-2007. $ Million. World’s Leading Hardwood Lumber Exporters: 2007.
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AHEC’s Global Reach London Washington, DC Beijing Osaka Seoul Mexico City Hong Kong
U.S. Hardwood Exports1986-2007 $ Million
World’s Leading Hardwood Lumber Exporters: 2007 Source: Global Trade Atlas
Growing Importance of US Hardwood Exports:Exports as a % of US Production Source: Hardwood Review,
Red Alder Exports: Major Markets 2005-2007(Millions of Dollars) Source: GTA
Value of Hardwood Lumber Exports to Japan1997-2007 ($ Thousand F.A.S. Value) Source: US Census Bureau
Value of Hardwood Lumber Exports to Korea1997-2007 ($ Thousands F.A.S. value) Source: US Census Bureau
AHEC/AF&PA Korea Office / September 2004 Interior Design Contests
Architectural publications Published in 5 European languages, over 300,000 copies already distributed
Architectural Seminars Featuring: architectural speakers, US hardwood projects, architectural media partners
Architectural Seminars • Architectural media partners • Architectural speakers • US hardwood projects • Generating additional publicity
China: Threat or… (Photo by Dr. Dave Cohen, UBC) ….opportunity? David Cohne, UBC
US Hardwood Lumber Exports to China ($ Millions FAS value)
Demand Drivers • Housing Privatization • Commercial Construction • Rising consumer wealth and sophistication; • Domestic and export oriented • manufacturing in furniture and interior fittings sectors; • Hospitality industry – 2008 Beijing Olympics/2010 Asian Games in Guangzhou
Chinese GDP Growth 1999-2007 Pillars of Growth: • High levels of investment spending • Trade and Opening to world economy.
Chinese Domestic Market • China Accounted for more than 20% of Global Economic Growth 2000-2007 • Second largest Automobile Market in the World • Largest Mobile Phone Market in the World • Estimated 10% of Population with “Middle Class” Purchasing Power. Represents 130 million consumers and growing!
China Furniture Production & Exports Billion USD • China National Furniture Association
Greater China: Furniture Sector Chinese Furniture Export by Province 2006 (Million US$) Province Guangdong province accounts For over 50% of China furniture exports.
Greater China: Furniture Sector Export Markets for Chinese Furniture in 2004 .
Greater China: Furniture Sector Export Markets for Chinese Furniture 2007 .
Greater China: Property Development • Approximately 700 million square meters of finished construction each year • Flooring demand to hit 2.5 billion square meters in 2008 • Door and window market to hit 500 million units in 2008 Source: ITTO,
厨房：美国红橡木橱柜 Kitchen: American Red Oak Cabinets
Hardwood Demand Driver III:Flooring and Secondary Manufactures
China Flooring Production: 2002-2006 • China is the largest wood flooring producer & consumer • Account for 50% world flooring production. million m2
US Hardwood Flooring Imports: Major Suppliers 2004-2006(Millions of Dollars) Source: GTA
2004-2006 China Door Production & Export United States is the largest export market for Chinese door, account for over 40% of the total export value. million USD
What’s Next? • Will China become a major player in the lumber/veneer export markets? • How much growth left in the furniture industry? • Can Chinese plantations make them more self-sufficient in wood fibre?
China’s rank in wood products global trade: • Production:Global Rank • Plywood #1 • MDF #1 • Blockboard #1 • Furniture #2 • Hardwood lumber #2 • Particleboard #3 • Softwood lumber #4 (higher than Sweden) • Finished Products Soaring • Imports #2 (after the USA) • Exports #1 Source: Wood Markets Inc
Chinese Wood Product Exports:(Millions of Dollars/ 8 month totals) Source: World Trade Atlas
China is a Low Cost Producer, But… Source: Wood Markets Inc
World’s Leading Hardwood Log Importers Source: Global Trade Atlas
US Hardwood Log Exports to China: 1997-2007(Thousands of Cubic Meters) Source: USDA-FAS
China: Hardwood LogImports 2007 % Market Share Source: World Trade Atlas:
China Domestic Timber Output Under NFCP Source: China Timber Import Export Co/IFSA Consulting
Per Capita Wood Consumption In cubic meters per capita Source: China Timber Import Export Co/Hardwoodmarkets.com 2005
Other Markets to Watch • Southeast Asia/Vietnam • Middle East • Latin America • India • **The EU**
S.E. Asia: Market Overview Million US$
VIETNAM U.S. Hardwood Log, Lumber & Veneer to VIETNAM Million US$
2 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 Establishment (company – enterprise) Picture of wood processing factories in VN Source: Ministry of Agriculture & Rural development
Southeast Asia Conventions • 2008: Saigon ,Vietnam: • 600 Delegates from 17 countries • 38 US Hardwood Exporters • Trade and Design Media from 11 countries
Hardwood Lumber Exports to Mexico Source: Global Trade Index
Mexico: Hardwood Import Market Share Source: Global Trade Index