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What’s Climate Got To Do With It ?. 29 November 2018 Getting Climate Ready – Adaptation Tools for Northwest Communities Terrace, BC. Trevor Murdock. Taking future climate into account is. necessary possible. Climate: long term statistics of weather.
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What’s Climate Got To Do With It? 29 November 2018Getting Climate Ready – Adaptation Tools for Northwest Communities Terrace, BC Trevor Murdock
Taking future climate into account is necessary possible
Climate: long term statistics of weather Weather: conditions at a specific location & time • December 2nd 2005 • 6°C snowing in ______ • 19°C sunny in ______
Victoria Montreal
Climate: Long Term Statistics of Weather • Weather: conditions at a specific location and time • December 2nd 2005 • 6°C snowing in Victoria • 19°C sunny in Montreal • Climate: long term statistics of weather • 1971-2000 average December
Climate varies by location & with time Temperature Anomaly °C
Climate Varies by Location and with Time Temperature Anomaly °C
Climate Varies by Location and with Time Temperature Anomaly °C
“Prediction is hard, especially about the future” • Yogi Berra • Albert Einstein • Mark Twain • Yogi Berra • Albert Einstein • Mark Twain • Winston Churchill • George Bernard Shaw • Niels Bohr • Will Rogers • Enrico Fermi • Dan Quayle • Woody Allen • Confucius
Future Warming in BC Past Minor reductions (RCP8.5) Paris commitments (RCP4.5) Paris goal (RCP2.6)
Increased hot days Days above 25°C
More frequent and more intense wet days Bella Coola Sept 2010
More frequent and more intense wet days Wettest day of the year
Fewer frost days Central Interior 2013 https://news.ubc.ca/2013/03/26/mountain-pine-beetle-genome-decoded/
Fewer days below freezing Days colder than 0°C
Best practices for considering future climate • Make use of available climate information • Consider a range of future projections • Practice cross-disciplinary engagement • Iteration, iteration, iteration
Email tmurdock@uvic.caMore information www.PacificClimate.orgClimate Insights 101http://pics.uvic.ca/education/climate-insights-101#quicktabs-climate_insights_101=1BC Regional Adaptation Collaborativehttps://www.fraserbasin.bc.ca/ccaq_bcrac.html Thank You Questions or feedback?
Online adaptation tools webinarhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jxj-3gPkDW4
PCIC* climate tools for BC • Plan2Adapt • Regional Analysis Tool • ClimateBC / ClimateWNA / HectaresBC / BC Climate Explorer • PCIC data portals • BC station data • High-resolution PRISM climatology • Statistically downscaled climate scenarios • VIC hydrological model output (gridded) • Station hydrological model output • Seasonal maps
More resources • Educational/background • CBC podcast mini series • Pacific Institute for Climate Solutions (PICS): Climate Insights 101 • What if climate change is real? – Katherine Hayhoe Ted Talk • Adaptation guidance • PICS adaptation in buildings infographic • Infrastructure Canada Climate Lens • BC Ministry of Transportation and Infrastructure Technical Circular • EGBC guidance document • Climate / engineering language primer • National guidebook on climate scenarios
And even more resources • Climate Projections Reports released by regional districts • Climate Projections for the Cowichan Valley Regional District • Climate Projections for the Capital Region • Climate Projections for Metro Vancouver • Climate Projections for Whistler • City of Vancouver Climate Impacts Summary • Webinar: Three important factors for adaptation: location, location, locationhttps://goo.gl/cVWJZ1
2015 / 2016 /2017 weather events, seasons 2015 https://www.pacificclimate.org/sites/default/files/publications/2015_Year_in_Review-Final.pdf 2016 https://www.pacificclimate.org/news-and-events/news/2016/bc-track-set-new-temperature-record-2016and https://www.pacificclimate.org/news-and-events/news/2017/climate-variability-hot-cold-winter-%E2%80%9916-%E2%80%9817 2017 https://www.pacificclimate.org/sites/default/files/publications/PCIC_Update_Mar_2018.pdf
Energy Use Unmet Cooling Hours Source: UBC (Campus and Community Planning) with RDH Building Science