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Moving Forward: Egypt and Its Population

Moving Forward: Egypt and Its Population. Egypt’s Population. Egypt’s Population. 2 % Growth Rate. 61.5. Egypt’s Population. 2 % Growth Rate. 123. 61.5. China. Egypt. Bangladesh. India. China. Egypt. Bangladesh. India. 5.5% habitable and 2.4% arable. Comparative Density.

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Moving Forward: Egypt and Its Population

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  1. Moving Forward: Egypt and Its Population

  2. Egypt’s Population

  3. Egypt’s Population 2 % Growth Rate 61.5

  4. Egypt’s Population 2 % Growth Rate 123 61.5

  5. China Egypt Bangladesh India

  6. China Egypt Bangladesh India 5.5% habitable and 2.4% arable

  7. Comparative Density = 100 persons Bangladesh Egypt

  8. Comparative Density = 100 persons Bangladesh Egypt 1,400 people/km2

  9. Comparative Density = 100 persons Bangladesh Egypt 1,400 people/km2 2,600 people/km2

  10. Comparative Density = 100 persons Bangladesh Egypt in 2030 5,100 people/km2 1,400 people/km2

  11. New Valley Development

  12. New Valley Development Current Arable Land

  13. New Valley Development Current Arable Land New Valley Arable Land

  14. Current Arable Land New Valley Arable Land New Valley Development

  15. Current Arable Land New Valley Arable Land New Valley Development 15 years.

  16. Projection Assumptions • Two population projections

  17. Projection Assumptions • Two population projections • Current fertility rate of 3.3 remains constant - red

  18. Projection Assumptions • Two population projections • Current fertility rate of 3.3 remains constant - red • Replacement level fertility of 2.1 children per woman by 2015 - yellow

  19. constant fertility low fertility Annual Births

  20. constant fertility low fertility Annual Births 1.6

  21. constant fertility low fertility Annual Births 2.5 1.6

  22. constant fertility low fertility Annual Births 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.5

  23. constant fertility low fertility Total Population

  24. constant fertility low fertility Total Population 106 61.5

  25. constant fertility low fertility Total Population 106 90 61.5

  26. Sectoral Impacts

  27. Economy

  28. Consequences of Growth Currently, Egypt must create 520,000 new jobs each year.

  29. New Jobs Required

  30. New Jobs Required 580 constant fertility 520

  31. New Jobs Required 580 constant fertility 520 270 low fertility

  32. New Jobs Required 580 constant fertility 2.4 million jobs 520 270 low fertility

  33. Effects on the Economy With ample employment:

  34. Effects on the Economy With ample employment: With inadequate employment:

  35. Water

  36. Water • Drinking • Irrigation • Industry

  37. ... a lack of water may become one of the most serious impediments to the nation’s economic development, to say nothing of its negative impact on the quality of life of Egypt’s residents.” “ Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, 1996

  38. constant fertility low fertility Water Available per Person

  39. constant fertility low fertility Water Available per Person 980 570

  40. constant fertility low fertility Water Available per Person 980 670 570

  41. constant fertility low fertility Water Available per Person 980 670 570 18% difference

  42. Health

  43. High fertility leads to high death rates among infants and mothers.

  44. High fertility leads to high death rates among infants and mothers. 121 41 30

  45. High Risk Births

  46. High Risk Births 26%

  47. High Risk Births 425,000 infants exposed 26%

  48. High Risk Births 34,000 infant lives saved 425,000 infants exposed

  49. Benefits of Birth Spacing

  50. 18% higher income per person 2.7 million fewer in Cairo 18% more water 3.8 million fewer primary students 480 million LE saved annually in health costs Sectoral Impacts - 2026

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