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Explore the management functions, decision support activities, and data design issues essential for sustainable road management. Learn about calibration levels, information quality, and calibration focus in different locations.
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ROAD MANAGEMENT A Framework for Sustainable Road Management
THE MANAGEMENT FUNCTIONS • Planning • Setting aims and objectives • Determining standards and policies • Estimating long term expenditure • Programming • Medium term work programmes • Preparation • Detailed project design and work packaging • Operations • Implementation of works in field
THE MANAGEMENT CYCLE Aims Audit Needs DATA Implem. Actions Cost/Pr
DECISION SUPPORT ACTIVITIES • Assess Needs • Road inventory • Condition and traffic assessment • Condition and traffic projection • Determine Actions • Apply standards • Identify and select treatments • Estimate Quantities and Costs • Assign Priorities under Budget Constraints • Analyse Past and Future Trends
QUESTIONS • What is essential to support the TASKS? • What constraints may exist in assessing needs, and how might you address them? • How might you best deploy your limited resources?
DATA DESIGN ISSUES • RELEVANCE • Only collect items of direct relevance on OUTPUTS and DECISION MAKING today • Adopt standard units and dimensions • APPROPRIATENESS • Choose a strategy based on intended use, eg. network or project level planning, design, etc. • RELIABILITY • Choose a level of precision depending on application. Data to be sufficiently accurate, complete and up to date. • AFFORDABILITY • The quantity and quality of all data must be affordable in resource terms and costs effective in decision making terms.
AIMS AND OJECTIVES • AIMS - To encourage a structured approach to the selection of key data and models to support cost effective decision making • OBJECTIVES - To increase knowledge and skills in the identification of key data items, model calibration and strategies for collection and application.
SCOPE • Reliability of results • Application of results • Calibration focus • RUE/RDWE calibration • Calibration levels • Reliability concepts • What to focus on • Information Quality Levels
Calibration Focus • Road User Effects • The models must predict the correct magnitude of costs and relativity between components • Road Deterioration and Works Effects • The models must reflect local pavement deterioration rates and maintenance practices/effects
RDWE CALIBRATION IN ZIMBABWE • Roughness Progression • Crown height (and earthworks quantities) • Drainage quality • Design standard • Unstable subgrades (Expansive and Dispersive) • Crack initiation and progression • Design standard • Original surfacing (single or double) • Reseals
Calibration/Adaptation Activities- RD Model Calibration CRPCDS dACW = Kcpw zw [(zw a1 a2tW YE4 (SNPa3) + SCWa4 )1/a5 - SCW] Calibration Factor Model Coefficients
Calibration Levels • Level 1: Basic Application • Addresses most critical parameters • ‘Desk Study’ • Level 2: Calibration • Measures key parameters • Conducts field surveys • Level 3: Adaptation • Major field surveys to requantify fundamental relationships
Bias and Precision • Only way of assessing model’s reliability is by comparing its predictions to known data • Need to take into account two considerations: • Bias • Precision
Correction Factors • Used to correct for bias • Two types of factors • Rotation (CF = Observed/Predicted) • Translation (CF = Observed - Predicted) • Translation factors shift the predictions vertically; rotation factors adjust the slope
RDWE Calibration - 1 • Simulation of Past • take sample of roads with historical data (traffic, design, etc.) • simulate deterioration from construction to current age • compare results • Average predicted condition should be similar to current condition
Road User Effects • Some data available from field studies; other from controlled experiments • Can verify using tariff surveys
What to Focus On • HDM-III had about 80+ data items and model parameters; HDM-4 over 100 • To assist users, conducted sensitivity tests and defined ‘impact elasticities’ • Grouped data into ranges
IQL Levels • IQL - 1: Fundamental Research • many attributes measured/identified • IQL - 2: Project Level • detail typical for design • IQL - 3: Programming Level • few attributes, network level • IQL - 4: Planning • key management attributes • IQL - 5: Key Performance Indicators