1 / 14

Ledende indikatorer (kvartals- og månedsdata)

Ledende indikatorer (kvartals- og månedsdata). Lavkonjunktur. Lavkonjunktur. Højkonjunktur. Højkonjunktur. Kvartalsdata (MACD). Månedsdata (ROC6). 1996-2009. Timing – Ledende indikatorer ROC6 inkl. faseopdelingen & aktiemarkedet. +14%. Leading Indicator. 2. 1. 1. 2.

jaimie
Download Presentation

Ledende indikatorer (kvartals- og månedsdata)

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. Ledende indikatorer (kvartals- og månedsdata) Lavkonjunktur Lavkonjunktur Højkonjunktur Højkonjunktur Kvartalsdata (MACD) Månedsdata (ROC6) 1996-2009

  2. Timing – Ledende indikatorer ROC6 inkl. faseopdelingen & aktiemarkedet +14% Leading Indicator 2 1 1 2 Historisk amplitude 3 4 ROC 6 mdr. 3 4 3 4 -10% S&P 500 +40% 1964-1971

  3. S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI ECRI MACD/ugebasis ECRI ROC6 MDR ECRI MACD/Quarterly-basis (diff.)

  4. S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI ECRI MACD/ugebasis ECRI ROC6 MDR ECRI MACD/Quarterly-basis (diff.)

  5. S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI ECRI MACD/ugebasis ECRI ROC6 MDR ECRI MACD/Quarterly-basis (diff.)

  6. S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI ECRI UGEBASIS MACD ECRI ROC 6 MDR ECRI Q MACD

  7. S&P 12 mdr. gns. & ECRI ECRI UGEBASIS MACD ECRI ROC 6 MDR ECRI Q MACD

  8. S&P & ROC 6 mdr. på ECRI ECRI MACD/ugebasis – data ikke tilgængelige ECRI ROC6 MDR ECRI MACD/Quarterly-basis (diff.)

  9. ECRI umodelleret (ugebasis) 9

  10. ECRI umodelleret (ugebasis) 10

  11. CRB Spot market price index – 12 mdr. SMA og MACD 11

  12. Gold MACD/Q 12

  13. Employment, S&P & de sekulære bear & bull markeder, Q-data Eneste gang uden optrend i sma12 mdr. under et cyklisk opsving 13 Sekulært bear marked

  14. ECRI og LEI umodelleret (ugebasis) – Visualisering af forskellen mellem Business Cycles og Conference Boards udgave for de ledende indikatorer 14

More Related