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PERT / CPM

PERT / CPM. PERT Program Evaluation & Review Technique CPM Critical Path Method. Planning Projects. Tasks: Develop internal and external resource require-ments and time-phase them to the project activities Means of Task Accomplishment:

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PERT / CPM

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  1. PERT / CPM PERT Program Evaluation & Review Technique CPM Critical Path Method

  2. Planning Projects • Tasks: • Develop internal and external resource require-ments and time-phase them to the project activities • Means of Task Accomplishment: • Activity descriptions, milestone charts, cash flow charts, CPM/PERT, engineering designs, time and cost estimates, material delivery plans, and so on. • Timing of Tasks: • Before project is begun and modified as required during project

  3. Scheduling Projects • Tasks: • Develop/revise detailed guides for each resource indicating quantity, quality, and timing • Means of Task Accomplishment: • Milestone charts for departments, subcontractors, and suppliers; cash flow schedule; CPM/PERT: begin-activity and complete-activity dates, and updated activity slack • Timing of Tasks: • Slightly before project is begun and continued throughout project

  4. Controlling Projects • Tasks: • Sense noncompliance of resources with schedules, standards, and budgets; take corrective actions, shift resources, develop alternatives • Means of Task Accomplishment: • Department budget reports, activity cost reports, quality compliance reports, time performance reports • Timing of Tasks: • During project

  5. Critical Path Method (CPM) • Designed to provide intense micro-control • The system is dynamic; it continues to provide periodic reports as the project progresses

  6. Manager’s View of CPM • INPUTS • List of project activities • Precedence relationship among activities • Estimate of each activity’s duration CPM processing procedures • OUTPUTS • Estimated duration of project • Identification of critical activities • Amount of slack for each activity

  7. CPM Terminology • Activity • A task or a certain amount of work required in the project • Requires time to complete • Represented by an arrow • Dummy Activity • Indicates only precedence relationships • Does not require any time of effort

  8. CPM Terminology • Event • Signals the beginning or ending of an activity • Designates a point in time • Represented by a circle (node) • Network • Shows the sequential relationships among activities using nodes and arrows

  9. CPM Terminology • Path • A connected sequence of activities leading from the starting event to the ending event • Critical Path • The longest path (time); determines the project duration • Critical Activities • All of the activities that make up the critical path

  10. CPM Terminology • Earliest Start (ES) • The earliest that an activity can begin; assumes all preceding activities have been completed • Earliest Finish (EF) • ES + activity time • Latest Finish (LF) • The latest that an activity can finish and not change the project completion time • Latest Start (LS) • LF - activity time

  11. IV 1 b d b II a 1 2 V c c a 1 3 III b d a c 1 a c 2 b VI b d 1 CPM Network Conventions a c I a b 1

  12. Steps in CPM Analysis • Draw the CPM network • A graphic view of the relationships among the required activities • Analyze the paths through the network • Determine the length of each path (the time required to complete each path) • Starting at the beginning of the network and working toward the end (from left to right), determine the ES and the EF for each activity • . . . more

  13. Steps in CPM Analysis • Path analysis (continued) • Identify the critical path(s) (the longest path[s] through the network) • The critical path(s) determines how long the project will take • . . . more

  14. Steps in CPM Analysis • Determine the slack for each activity • Working from the end of the project network (from right to left), find the LF and the LS for each activity • Compute the activity’s slack slack = LS - ES = LF - EF • Slack is the maximum amount of time that this activity can be delay in its completion before it becomes a critical activity, i.e., delays completion of the project

  15. A Simple Project

  16. Project Network

  17. ES Earliest Starting (time) EF Earliest Finishing LS Latest Starting LF Latest Finishing Slack Extra Time

  18. Earliest Starting/Finishing Times EF = ES + t

  19. LS = LF - t

  20. What if activity times are variable? a optimistic time m most likely time b pessimistic time t = E(T) expected time = (a + 4m + b)/6 V(T) variance = (b - a)2/36

  21. Activity TimeExpected Value and Variance

  22. Possible Paths and Statistics

  23. What is the probability that the project takes at least 10 days? • What is the probability that the project takes less than 7 days?

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