Risk Analysis Technology of Regional Systems on the Base of Statistical Rates

1. Risk Analysis Technology of Regional Systems on the Base of Statistical Rates Katheryna Zaslavska Faculty of Cybernetics Kyiv National Taras Shevchenko University Department of System Analysis and Decision-Making Theory

2. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

3. Actuality Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

4. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

5. Rating and risk Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

6. Rating and risk Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

7. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

8. Regional systems Financialsystems Payment systems Regional systems Banking systems Large corporations Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

9. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

10. Problem investigation • Technologies for problem investigation: Laws, rules With the help of all this elements we will be able to get as a result a list of depressive territories. DATA Mathematical tool System of risk calculation Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

11. agricultural r. industrial r. Laws Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

12. Data Regions can be stable, but some of them not Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

13. Mathematical tool. Methods of investigation • Systems analysis • Methods of decision-making • Statistical analysis • Visualization • Software Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

14. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

15. Mathematical models and optimization Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

16. Mathematical models and optimization Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

17. Mathematical models and optimization Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

18. Table 1. Rating of Ukrainian regions by extra cost Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

19. Table 2. Incidence matrix for period 2000-2004 Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

20. Table 3. Transition matrix for period 2000-2004 Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

21. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

22. Data analysis Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

23. Pic.1.Value of system risk Results of calculation of system risk in Ukraine for period of 2000-2006 years presented in diagram For period 2000-2006 system risk increased on 10%. Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

24. Pic.2 Regions risk in 1 period 2000-2004 • We may see • most risky • regions: • Vinnickiy • Sumskoy • Zaporozhskiy Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

25. Pic.3 Regions risk in 2 period 2000-2005 Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

26. Pic.4 Regions risk in 3 period 2000-2006 Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

27. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

28. Multicriterion approach for measurement of the strategic risk Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

29. Pic.5. Risk when ½ Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

30. Pic.6. Risk when ¼ and ¾ Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

31. Pic.7. Risk when ¾ and ¼ Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

32. Risk Analysis Technology Outline Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

33. Conclusions Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

34. Conclusions Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era

35. QUESTIONS? Information and Technology in the Knowledge Era