uma tarefa dif cil miss o imposs vel n.
Download
Skip this Video
Loading SlideShow in 5 Seconds..
Uma tarefa difícil – missão impossível? PowerPoint Presentation
Download Presentation
Uma tarefa difícil – missão impossível?

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 37

Uma tarefa difícil – missão impossível? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 59 Views
  • Uploaded on

Uma tarefa difícil – missão impossível?. Antony Mueller UFS. De Bush à Obama. Continuidade e Ruptura na Política Econômica dos Estados Unidos. Para receber o data show. Website : www.continentaleconomics.com Blog internacional: www.continentaleconomics.com/blog Blog em Português:

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'Uma tarefa difícil – missão impossível?' - hollye


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
antony mueller ufs

Antony MuellerUFS

De Bush à Obama. Continuidade e Ruptura na Política Econômica dos Estados Unidos

para receber o data show
Para receber o data show
  • Website:
  • www.continentaleconomics.com
  • Blog internacional:
  • www.continentaleconomics.com/blog
  • Blog em Português:
  • www.economianova.blogspot.com
  • e-mail:
  • antonymueller@yahoo.com
a heran a
A herança
  • Duas guerras sem perspectiva de vitoria
  • US “soft power” (poder suave) no chão
  • Crise financeira
  • Crise econômica
  • Crise social
  • Dívida externo
  • Dívida pública
  • Dívida pessoal
  • Indústria de automóvel perto do calote
  • Setor financeiro em bancarrota
fim de uma economia ilus ria
Fim de uma economia ilusória
  • “For the past several years people thought we had a real economy and we didn’t. We had a bubble. All we did is borrow a trillion dollars from the rest of the world and now we can’t pay the bills.”
  • Peter Schiff, fund manager and financial analyst
os desafios
Os desafios
  • Quebrar a formação de um circulo vicioso entre desemprego e desvalorização dos ativos (imóveis e ações)
  • Parar a aprofundamento da crise financeira (com pulverização da poupança de aposentaria)
  • Controlar a explosão da dívida pública
  • Manter as promessas
o plano obama
O “plano Obama”
  • “…we risk falling into a deflationary spiral that could increase our massive debt even further,” …
  • work out details of an “economic recovery plan” that will be “big enough to meet the challenges we face that I intend to sign soon after taking office” on Jan. 20.
  • “It will be a two-year, nationwide effort to jumpstart job creation in America and lay the foundation for a strong and growing economy,”…
  • “We’ll put people back to work rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges, modernizing schools that are failing our children, and building wind farms and solar panels; fuel-efficient cars and the alternative energy technologies that can free us from our dependence on foreign oil and keep our economy competitive in the years ahead.”…
  • The initiatives will address “this immediate crisis” and represent “long-term investments in our economic future that have been ignored for far too long,”
  • O planoeconômico de Obama, Novembro 2008
confrontando a realidade os desafios intelectuais de obama
Confrontando a realidade – Os desafios intelectuais de Obama
  • Maior perigo: cair vítima dos próprios mitos, da propaganda e das ilusões, entre eles:
  • Confundindo mito e realidade da economia americana
  • Confundindo mito e realidade da origem da crise financeira
  • Confundindo mito e realidade do poder Americana
  • Aplicando falsas teorias
a economia americana
A economia Americana
  • Um saco vazio?
poder econ mico
Poder econômico
  • Mito: A economia americana é a economia dominante do mundo com um nível altíssimo de produtividade e inovação
  • Realidade: Como mostra o déficit comercial, a economia americana se tornou mais e mais dependente do exterior durante os últimos 25 anos produzindo uma dívida externa insustentável.
top 5 em pib
Top 5 em PIB
  • GDP at purchasing power parity 2007 in USD trillion
  • World 65.6
  • EuropeanUnion 14.4
  • United States 13.8
  • China 7.1
  • Japan 4.3
  • India 3.0
  • Memo:
  • Brazil 1.8 Rank 11
fmi quotas setembro 2008
FMI Quotas Setembro 2008
  • Estado Unidos: 17.09 %
  • Cinco maiores economias da UE: 21.50 %
  • Japão: 6.13 %
  • China: 3.72 %
  • Argentina: 0.97 %
  • Brasil: 1.40 %
  • Chile: 0.39 %
gastos militares
Gastos militares
  • Militaryexpenditures (USD bilhões)
  • WorldTotal
  • 1,470
  • United States
  • 711
  • People'sRepublicof China
  • 61
  • Brazil
  • 24
national intelligence council nov 2008
NationalIntelligenceCouncil Nov. 2008
  • The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
  • Dollar will lose its role as the leading reserve currency
  • The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
  • Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
  • The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East. http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
a tarefa
A tarefa
  • Da suporte ao processo de mudar a cultura Americana de uma de dívida e da “gratificação instantânea” para uma cultura de responsabilidade, poupança, e sacrifício
  • Evitar confrontação com China, mas levar o país ao bordo para confrontar os problemas globais
  • Aceitar o papel reduzido dos poderes “norte Atlântico” em gerenciar a economia global e fortalecer o grupo 20 (G 20)
  • Resistir o protecionismo
continuidade dos donos do poder
Continuidade dos donos do poder
  • “Naturally, people are making lists of what the new administration should do to begin to reverse the decades-long trends toward rising inequality, unrestrained corporate plunder, ecological disaster, military adventurism and constricted democracy. But if naming our favored policies is the main thing we do, we are headed for a terrible letdown. Let's face it: BarackObama is not a visionary or even a movement leader. He became the nominee of the Democratic Party, and then went on to win the general election, because he is a skillful politician. That means he will calculate whom he has to conciliate and whom he can ignore in realms dominated by big-money contributors from Wall Street, powerful business lobbyists and a Congress that includes conservative Blue Dog and Wall Street-oriented Democrats. “
  • Frances Fox Piven, in The Nation, November 2008
military industrial complex
Military-industrialcomplex
  • “The signs are amassing that BarackObama put a political con job over on the American people. He is now daily buying into the entrenched military-industrial complex that President Eisenhower warned Americans about in his farewell address.”
  • Ralph Nader
slide30

At a recent Reuters Global Finance Summit former Goldman Sachs chairman John Whitehead was interviewed. He was also Ronald Reagan's Deputy Secretary of State and a former chairman of the N.Y. Fed. He says America's problems will take years and will burn trillions.

He sees "nothing but large increases in the deficit ... I think it would be worse than the depression. ... Before I go to sleep at night, I wonder if tomorrow is the day Moody's and S&P will announce a downgrade of U.S. government bonds." It'll get worse because "the public is not prepared to increase taxes. Both parties were for reducing taxes, reducing income to government, and both parties favored a number of new programs, all very costly and all done by the government."

Reuters concludes: "Whitehead said he is speaking out on this topic because he is concerned no lawmakers are against these new spending programs and none will stand up and call for higher taxes. 'I just want to get people thinking about this, and to realize this is a road to disaster,' said Whitehead. 'I've always been a positive person and optimistic, but I don't see a solution here.'"

slide31

As previsões de Gerald Celente:Os Estados Unidos vai se tornar numa nação "undeveloped" ("dedesenvolvida")com- taxrevolt (rebelião contra imposts)- job marches (demonstrações trabalhistas- foodriots (rebelião para comida)- squatterrevolt (rebelião de pessoas sem moradia)Gerald Celente prevê um período de tempo pior que a grande depressão.Em vez de "wecan" o novo governo vai realisar que "wecan't".Os Estados Unidos vai entrar num declínio econômico geral.Até hoje os Estados Unidos ainda não estão preparado para este choque e continuam estar em um estado de negação, incluindo negar que já estamos numa forte recessão.Fim do da festa natal como evento de consumo eszessivo.

military industrial complex1
Military-industrialcomplex
  • The signs are amassing that BarackObama put a political con job over on the American people.
  • He is now daily buying into the entrenched military-industrial complex that President Eisenhower warned Americans about in his farewell address.”
  • Ralph Nader
a continuidade do poder
A continuidade do poder
  • “Naturally, people are making lists of what the new administration should do to begin to reverse the decades-long trends toward rising inequality, unrestrained corporate plunder, ecological disaster, military adventurism and constricted democracy. But if naming our favored policies is the main thing we do, we are headed for a terrible letdown.
  • Let's face it: BarackObama is not a visionary or even a movement leader. He became the nominee of the Democratic Party, and then went on to win the general election, because he is a skillful politician. That means he will calculate whom he has to conciliate and whom he can ignore in realms dominated by big-money contributors from Wall Street, powerful business lobbyists and a Congress …“
  • Frances Fox Piven, in The Nation, November 2008
obama s mother
Obama’smother
  • Her parents, Madelyn Payne and Stanley Dunham, met in Wichita, Kansas, and married on May 5, 1940.[10] She had English, Irish, German, and Cherokee heritage from her parents. She was a distant cousin of Vice President Dick Cheney, George Bush, and Harry Truman.[11]
obama
Obama
  • In Obama's case, the US president-elect may be able to trace part of his European roots back to a man by the name of Christian Gutknecht, who emigrated from the village of Bischwiller in what is today the French region of Alsace, but at the time was a Bavarian duchy.
  • http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/front/Obama_could_boost_genealogy_craze.html?siteSect=105&sid=10009597&rss=true&ty=st