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CRASH , DEPRESSION, AND NEW DEAL

CRASH , DEPRESSION, AND NEW DEAL. 1920's had been a period of good economic times Tues. Oct. 29th, 1929 - NYC Stock market crashed, triggering a depression that would last until 1942. Market Gains. Genuine economic gains during the 1920s – US economy was booming and powering global commerce

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CRASH , DEPRESSION, AND NEW DEAL

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  1. CRASH, DEPRESSION, AND NEW DEAL • 1920's had been a period of good economic times • Tues. Oct. 29th, 1929 - NYC Stock market crashed, triggering a depression that would last until 1942

  2. Market Gains • Genuine economic gains during the 1920s – US economy was booming and powering global commerce • The Stock Market posted large gains – much real, but some speculative • Dow Jones in 1907 at 100 • Dow Jones in summer 1927 at 200 • Dow Jones by fall 1929 at 381

  3. The Fear of Inflation • Inflation was an old fear of American banks and business • Great for creditors / borrowers • Bad for banks and lenders • As problems grew in Europe, gold flowed into the US – seen as a safe haven • Trying to head off inflation, Treasury sold bonds to reduce the money supply • Actually decreased money supply by 4%

  4. The stock market: • the public invests in cos. by purchasing stocks; in return for this they expect a profit on sale • b/c of booming 1920's economy, $ were plentiful, so banks were quick to make loans to investors • also investors only had to pay for 10% of the stock's actual value at time of purchase • this was known as BUYING ON MARGIN, and the balance was paid at a later date

  5. This encouraged STOCK SPECULATION - people would buy and sell stocks quickly to make a quick buck • b/c of all this buying & selling, stock value increased (Ex: G.E stock $130  $396/share) • this quick turnover didn't aid cos.  they needed long term investments so they could pay bills (stock value was like an illusion) • unscrupulous traders would buy and sell shares intentionally to inflate a given co.'s stock value • All of this gave a false sense of security/confidence in the American market

  6. Beginning in Oct. 1929, investors’ confidence dropped, leading to a market collapse • All tried to sell at once and bottom fell out of market = panic selling… (many bankruptcies as banks called in loans) • Only a tiny minority of people traded on the stock exchange, but they possessed vast wealth, and the crash had a ripple effect on the economy

  7. For the poor....... • mass consumption was already low (poor could afford to buy little) • unemployment rose  no gov't assistance at first • since people could not buy, productivity was cut back = further unemp. • With additional unemployment  purchasing power declined again  reduced productivity yet again (= ECONOMIC CYCLE) Unemployment Purchasing PowerProductivity

  8. PRODUCTIVITY AND UNEMPLOYMENT • U.S. Eco. was (and still is) based on the productivity – purchasing power - employment cycle • For many goods to be produced , purchasing demand had to be there: Yields high employment and a healthy economy • Between 1924-27, U.S. productive capacity doubled but it was b/c of technological innovation  electricity and mechanical advances made for better production, but no new jobs were added to the economy • So more consumer goods were available, but there weren't more people able to buy them (OVERPRODUCTION)

  9. A second major problem: uneven distribution of wealth 0.1% at top owned as much as bottom 42% of American families (42% below poverty line) Of the 58% above the poverty line, most fell into the middle class category - they were not wealthy; they had jobs b/c of the industrialization & consumerization of the American market place This middle class depended on their salaries and when productivity declined they lost their jobs Because of low savings, they had to cut back on their purchases This decline in consumption among the middle class ruined the whole country

  10. Does this sound familiar???? It should. Take a look at the decline of the US economy since 2009!!!

  11. Hoover the Engineer • Hoover was an aggressive problem solver – tried to learn from the recession of 1920-1921. • Hoover had always been successful – and accustomed to being praised for his accomplishments in industry & gov’t • Quickly gathered business leaders and used his “Bully Pulpit” to persuade them to avoid the problems he saw in the last recession • Kept taking steps to limit the perceived threat of inflation – further reducing the money supply • Limited $ for businesses to keep operating

  12. A Narrow View of the Constitution • Pres. Hoover’s responses… • he didn't believe that the government should play an active role in the economy • VOLUNTARY NON - COERCIVE COOPERATION • Convinced business leaders to maintain employment and wages – even as they were losing $ • Convinced business leaders to actually spend money to expand their businesses – in exchange for tax breaks • As the economy declined further – business leaders had to choose between (1) breaking their promises to Hoover or (2) going out of business.

  13. Hoover on the Bully Pulpit • Hoover also organized some private relief agencies for the unemployed • Pushed state leaders to spend on public projects – public construction • He worked out a system with European powers that owed U.S. money as a result of WWI debts = HOOVER MORATORIUM - put a temporary stop to war debt & reparations payments • Euro. countries were to purchase American goods instead to stimulate American economy

  14. In early 1930 these measures appeared successful, but then......the TARIFF WARS • With Hoover’s support, Congress passed a broad tariff bill – to protect American farmers and business • Over the strong objections of many business leaders and economists • A fatal error...the US was tied to a GLOBAL ECONOMY • A trade surplus of $25 billion over the prior 15 years • Other countries retaliated with high tariffs – so no foreign markets purchased American goods and U.S. productivity decreased again

  15. Cascading Bank Failures – World Wide • Before Dec 1930, bank failures were mostly limited to rural banks • December 1930, a major New York City bank ran into trouble. • Federal Reserve was new and we did not understand the relations of business cycle and monetary supply • European banks began to fail, impairing the ability of Germany to repay loans from US banks. • As European banks defaulted on loans, larger US banks also began to close.

  16. Hoover’s Political Challenges Before 1931, Hoover faced a Republican Congress – hostile to any initiatives to spend $ or limit business Republicans lost control of the House of Representatives in the 1930 election – and Hoover battled with a hostile and divided Congress

  17. AMERICANS REACT TO HOOVER • Hoover was increasingly unpopular, but he continued to try...  • In 1932 he persuaded Congress to establish the RECONSTRUCTION FINANCE CORPORATION • had power to make emergency loans to banks • but it was too little too late… • Hoover remained opposed to any programs of direct gov'tal aid to individuals -didn't want to erode Americans sense of "RUGGED INDIVIDUALISM“ • Smacked of “socialism” – • Vetoed legislation to build dams on the Tennessee River (Muscle Shoals)

  18. People were frustrated - isolated protest movements • EX: Dairy farmers frustrated w/ low price of milk refuse to sell (dump it) • EX: WW1 veterans (pensions discontinued by congress) march on Washington = BONUS MARCH (by BONUS ARMY) • they reached Washington by 1931, set up shantytowns = HOOVERVILLES (food scraps = HOOVER-MEALS, hitchhiking journeys = HOOVER RIDES) • after one year they were forcibly dispersed by the Army (MacArthur/Eisenhower)

  19. Ahead of His Time? • Hoover sponsors the Norris-La Guardia Anti-Injunction Act • Outlawed “yellow dog” (anti-union) contracts • Prohibited the federal courts from issuing injunctions to stop strikes, boycotts, and peaceful picketing.

  20. 1932 ELECTION • 1 out of 4 was unemployed… • nat'l income was 50% of what it had been in 1929 • Republicans nominated Hoover  no hope • Winner by a landslide = FRANKLIN DELANO ROOSEVELT (Dem - N.Y. governor)

  21. Chaning America – Big PictureThe “New Deal” A revolutionin American society - changed completely the relation between government and citizens More government involvement - butwithin the context of traditional U.S. democracy (not socialist…)

  22. Changing America – Big PictureTransformation of Government - Function • Economy • Regulation • Participation • Economic Theory – Keynesian concepts • A role for organized labor • Orientation – “what’s good for the consumer is good for America” • Social Services • Direct support for struggling people • “Entitlements”?

  23. Changing America – Big PictureTransformation of Government – “Is” • Expanded in size and distribution / employment • Agencies & “Iron Triangles” • Political realignments

  24. Changing America – The Supreme Court • A revolution in our fundamental understanding of the Constitution • Abandoned protection of contract and property as the dominant framework • Abandoned strict construction – essential in context of a different America • A new, broad view of the Commerce Clause support for government regulation of the economy.

  25. Changing America – Role in the World Transformed to SuperPower World Banker Embraced Collective Security and broad responsibility for “peace” and “democracy” Alliances – “From 0 to 100 mph in 6 sec.”

  26. Changing America – At Home All mixed up – migration and loss of community Changed social constructs – family, women, minorities “rugged individualism”

  27. The Watershed1932 Election Roosevelt attacked Hoover’s spending – promising a balanced budget Promised “a new deal” for Americans Ran on “Happy Days Are Here Again” For the first time, Black voters moved to the Democratic Party – especially in urban areas

  28. Roosevelt’s Program • Relief – take care of people • Recovery – restore the economy and get people back to work • Reform – • make sure it does not happen again • other Progressive reforms deferred by WWI and the 20s

  29. Hundred Days First 100 days of Roosevelt Administration Congress gave Roosevelt nearly a blank check – whatever FDR wanted The benchmark for the success of new presidents ever since

  30. THE NEW DEAL • Economic reform first • FDR believed government legislation/involvement was crucial to stimulate the economy • Opposite of Hoover • Step 1 – fix the banks and restore confidence in the banking system • Emergency Banking Relief Act • “Bank Holiday” • Glass-Steagall Act – Creating the FDIC • Effectively ended bank failures

  31. Step 2 - stock market reform- Security Exchange Commission created to regulate stock markets • Federal Securities Act – required disclosure of information to investors • Step 3 - to put more $ in circulation, FDR went off the GOLD STANDARD • w/ more $ in circulation, wages and prices increased • Inflation would reduce debtors burden and increase production • Gave government greater purchasing power • Cancelled gold contracts • Individuals prohibited to hold gold

  32. Economic Legislation • Creating direct government intervention in the economy"Alphabet Soup“ agencies • NATIONAL INDUSTRIAL RECOVERY ACT (NIRA) and NATIONAL RECOVERY ADMIN (NRA) • established to end animosity b/n labour and business  all was redirected to industrial growth •  fair labour codes established - wages, no child labour, shortened work hours- • Business argued the NRA was socialism • Formed the LIBERTY LEAGUE to oppose government regulation of business • Supreme Ct. overturned the NIRA & NRA, holding Congress did not have the authority under Article I, Section 8 • Strict Construction of the Constitution

  33. Economic Stimulation and Jobs Creation • “Prime the Pump” of the economy with federal money • TVA and BPA • Put people to work • Create “public power” • Source of lower cost power

  34. FDR like Hoover was wary of gov't handouts - he wanted people to earn their keep so gov't agencies were created - temporarily - to address the unemp. problem CIVILIAN CONSERVATION CORPS (CCC) - in 1933 - set to establish work for young men (18-25) in areas of reforestation, soil conservation, flood control, road construction - also took them out of urban labour markets - but Blacks not permitted to enrol

  35. Civilian Conservation Corps Civil Works Administration Works Progress Administration

  36. AGRUCULTURAL ADJUSTMENT ACT (AAA) - passed in 1933 to aid formers- its objective was to restore farmers' purchasing power and to restore the family farm - AAA had farmers cut back on crop production by paying them equivalent SUBSIDIES (paid not to produce) - bad side: • 1) food production down when millions were starving • 2) Black sharecroppers were hurt: white landowners paid not to farm so they got rid of Black tenant formers • in 1935, AAA was declared unconstitutional by courts (too much control over individual states), so it was revised and introduced as new legislation • EX: Food Stamp Act of 1939 - gave away surplus food to poor, also guaranteed (small) farmers a market

  37. other agencies had specific mandates too...NATIONAL YOUTH ADMIN. (NYA) - created jobs for young in urban areas FED. EMERGENCY RELIEF ACT (FERA) - aimed at older workers- these and other similar agencies worked well, but unemp. was still at 6 million in 1941(solution for this would be the ind. boom of WW2) NEW DEAL - SOCIAL REFORM ASPECT- after 1935, w/ immediate economic relief & reform addressed, New Deal turned to Social Welfare - more legislation... National Labour Relations Act (aka Wagner Act)- it legitimized unions and labour tactics such as collective bargaining & collective action (strikes, etc...) - it outlawed BLACKLISTS & other anti-union practices

  38. Social Security Act (1935)- feared by opponents as "creeping socialism"- this act typifies the WELFARE STATE - unemployment insurance, old age pensions • Problem: it took some $ out of circulation (payroll deductions) at a time when purchasing power was already low- also, it only covered the unemployed • 1936 - "Soak The Rich" tax

  39. ELECTION OF 1936 - FDR won easily (v Repub. Alf Landon - Kansas governor) • this victory gave FDR a mandate to continue his New Deal policies • FDR’s “Court Packing” Scheme • first objective: to reorganize the Supreme Court - they disallowed some New Deal legislation • FDR wants # of judges changed from 9 15 (to "pack the court") - great opposition, so FDR w/drew this proposal • but judges retired & FDR got to appoint new ones  they approved all New Deal legislation

  40. the late 1930's – new Qs arose… • FDR concerned w/ int'l issues • in 1939 he proposed no new major domestic reform measures (1st time in his pres.) • ELECTION OF 1940 - FDR broke with tradition & ran a 3rd time • FDR v. Wendell Wilkie - the big issue here was American support of the Allies (G.B.), now embroiled in WWII v. Nazi Ger. • both U.S. pol. parties wanted to support G.B. but to remain neutral - in fact a CONSENSUS had developed b/n the Dems. and Repubs. • both parties approved of (most) New Deal legislation & wanted an isolationist foreign policy- FDR won in 1940 (and again in 1944)

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