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NWS Tampa Bay daniel.noah@noaa.gov

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  1. NWS Tampa Baydaniel.noah@noaa.gov

  2. Drought Monitor

  3. Percent of Normal Rain Last 30 days: 5-20% Last 180 days: 90-200%

  4. Winter Outlook

  5. NWS Melbourne Radar • Radar to be down for much of December & January • Raise tower height 33 ft • Beam blockage from new hangar Beam Blockage

  6. New Navigation Safety Forecasthttp://www.srh.noaa.gov/tbw/?n=tampabaynavigationsafetyforecast Developed with help of our marine partners

  7. Weather Slides for Your Outreach Don’t reinvent the wheel, pillage the work of others

  8. 2012 Tropical Storm Beryl Early on May 28, the storm moved ashore near Jacksonville Beach, Florida, with peak winds of 70 mph

  9. 2012 Tropical Storm BerylLate May 2012 - 6,000 without power ABC 25 ABC 25

  10. Flooding Rain in Citrus CountyT.S. Beryl Impacts to West Central Florida 9+ Inches Emergency Management Heavy rain flooded several homes in Citrus County with up to 31” of water. This spot had not flooded for over 30 years.

  11. 2012 Tropical Storm BerylWaterspout and Tornado Yankeetown Fire Dept

  12. 2012 Tropical Storm DebbyJune 23-27, Peak wind 60 mph Debby made landfall at Steinhatchee, Florida with winds of 40 mph 9 Fatalities $309 million

  13. Tornadoes in T.S. Debby

  14. Tornado Fatality in Venus, FL Mother found 100 yards from home with baby in her arms Emergency Management

  15. Other Tornadoes in T.S. Debby Lake Placid, Winter Haven WTSP Pass-a-Grille Pass-a-Grille Lake Placid Kerr and Peng @UF Pass-a-Grille

  16. T.S. Debby 7 Days of Rain 21.46”

  17. Fresh Water Flooding near Brooksville BN9 BN9 Sun Coast Parkway Closed for 7 Days BN9

  18. Clay County Road Washed Out

  19. Major Flood Anclote River Elfers, FL - Second Highest Crest in 67 Years USGS USGS Tampa Bay Times

  20. Pinellas CountyDon’t Drive in Flooded Roads A. Ahrens J. Cavanaugh A. Von Eschen

  21. Storm Tide from T.S. Debby4.49 foot Surge at Cedar Key Cedar Key Cedar Key Pine Island Homosassa

  22. Storm Tide from T.S. Debby3.1 foot Surge at Clearwater Beach4.07 foot surge in Tampa Bay Clearwater Beach – Rick Johnson Tampa – Wen Dee Tarpon Springs – Joann Hoffman

  23. Storm Tide from T.S. DebbyAround 4 foot of surge, Bay Shore Blvd in Tampa Road flooded for 2.5 days Tampa – Dan Noah

  24. Storm Tide from T.S. DebbyBradenton and Sarasota Anna Maria Island Overtopped Mike Guevin Major Beach Erosion Mark Palmer Wade Tatangelo – Bradenton Herald

  25. Rip Currents after T.S. Debby5 family members caught in rip current at Pass-a-Grille Beach, 1 died Tampa Bay Times Tampa Bay Times

  26. 2012 Hurricane Isaac August 21 to Sept 1 80 MPH CAT 1 44 Fatalities $2 billion in damage

  27. August 22 Official ForecastRNC - August 26-30, 2012 Hurricane Watch likely somewhere in Florida Friday night or Saturday morning, RNC starts Monday

  28. Pressure to Get it Right

  29. RNC Cancels First Night

  30. Waterspout in Tampa Near RNC Radar Image RNC Velocity Image Around 4:43 PMMonday, Aug 27

  31. Isaac Flooding East of Venicenear the Myakka River Photos by Jason R.

  32. Isaac’s Rip Current Threat Tuesday Surf Swells from Isaac breaking onshore causing rip current threat 1 rip current fatality and 4 injuries the day after Tropical Storm Debby 4 ft waves 6 ft waves 3 ft waves

  33. The Role of your local NWS Forecast Office Develop localized picture of timing and impact Communicate uncertainty and impacts so our customers can make informed decisions Analyze all the various products and forecasts