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Admissions Trends and Behaviours. Andrea Johnson Head of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University Ian Blenkharn Head of Recruitment & Admissions University of Exeter. Contents. 2012 cycle so far Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not… To AAB or not to AAB 2013 cycle Horizon scanning

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admissions trends and behaviours

Admissions Trends and Behaviours

Andrea JohnsonHead of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University

Ian BlenkharnHead of Recruitment & AdmissionsUniversity of Exeter

  • 2012 cycle so far
  • Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not…
  • To AAB or not to AAB
  • 2013 cycle
  • Horizon scanning
  • Fair access
  • Contextual data
  • Summary
2012 to date
2012…to date
  • UCAS applications down 7.4% (15 Jan)
  • Little change on 15 October deadline
  • Trend for later applications – more research?
  • Seems to be a shift towards subjects with a more ‘vocational’ focus

Source: UCAS

plymouth picture
Plymouth Picture
  • UCAS applications in line with the UCAS national picture, and significantly up on 2010.
  • Much later application behaviour
  • Subject growth vocational and societal
exeter picture
Exeter Picture
  • UCAS applications exactly in line with 2011 – although slightly higher quality
  • Growth areas mainly in Science/Engineering/Law
deferral behaviour
Deferral behaviour
  • UCAS applications don’t give the whole picture
  • Fewer deferrals for 2012 entry from 2011 as a result of higher fees
  • Deferral rates from 2012 to 2013 back to ‘normal’ – therefore a bigger net reduction in applications per place in 2012
  • Unclear as to how all of this will affect pressure for places at Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment
to aab or not to aab
To AAB or not to AAB...
  • New ‘Core and Margin’ model fundamentally changes the admissions process for HEIs
  • HEFCE/Government have not used a comprehensive equivalency model for AAB+
  • HEIs need to ensure fairness, transparency and consistency
horizon scanning
Horizon scanning
  • 2013 cycle
  • UCAS Admissions Process Review
  • Proposals for 2014 and 2016
2013 cycle
2013 cycle
  • Advice & guidance difficulties – although less than for 2012
  • Fee rates / student support packages won’t be confirmed until July(?)
  • Will ‘core and margin’ threshold be lowered to ABB for 2013 entry?
admissions review1
Admissions Review
  • UCAS Admissions Process Review
  • GTTR Review
  • UCAS Tariff
ucas apr
  • Consultation closed on 27 January
  • Two models
    • Modifications for 2014
    • PQA for 2016 (or later)
  • Reduce pressure point of clearing
  • Re-establish ‘fairness’
admissions ucas review
Admissions UCAS Review
  • 2014 ‘Modifications’
    • UCAS Process improvements
    • Same number of choices
    • Clearer deadlines and timeframes
    • Future of insurance choice
    • Compulsory gathered field
    • Offer release date
    • Managed ‘Clearing’ commencing after A level results
    • New terminology and labelling
admissions ucas review1
Admissions UCAS Review
  • 2016 Model
    • Full PQA; apply with known results
    • Two choices
    • Earliest possible 2016/2018
    • Subject of much debate
ucas tariff
UCAS Tariff
  • Expected to have reached end of its life by 2014 entry
  • Return to grades
  • Clarity of entry requirements/grade requirements
simple messages
Simple messages
  • No fees paid upfront, costs covered by a loan
  • Loans repaid at £21k earnings threshold
  • Real rate of interest – RPI plus up to 3%
  • Fees charged up to £9k (plus a bit for 2013)
  • Grant support available – income threshold of £42k
  • National Scholarships programme
  • Institutional scholarships/bursaries
fair access exeter
Fair Access - Exeter
  • Confusion between ‘Fair Access’ and ‘Widening Participation’
  • Milburn’s ‘Fair Access to the Professions’ – particular focus on research intensive / selective institutions
  • Fair Access primarily focused on admissions and assessing potential (Hoare, 2010)
contextual data
Contextual data
  • What is it!?
    • Additional information to aid and support the decision making process and improve inclusivity
    • Evidence based judgement
    • Applicants may not be treated in exactly the same way as different factors maybe be considered, all applicants are individuals with different backgrounds.
educational factors
Educational factors
  • School/college progression rates
  • School performance at GCSE
  • Progression from year 11 to FE
  • Average QCA points per qualification
personal factors
Personal factors
  • Disability
  • Ethnicity
  • Age/experience (eg Mature Students)
socio economic factors
Socio-economic factors
  • In receipt of free school meals
  • Living in a low progression neighbourhood
  • Socio-economic class IIM-VII
  • In care for longer than three months
plymouth s use of contextual data
Plymouth’s use of contextual data
  • Not actively collecting or using at present
  • Confidence in our admissions policy that we are inclusive in our approach and constitution
exeter s use of contextual data
Exeter’s use of contextual data
  • Very much focused on educational factors: See
  • Evidence-based approach, reviewed annually
  • Part of our holistic assessment of an applicant’s potential to succeed
  • Turbulent times continue
  • Unknown impact of reforms on Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment for 2012 entry and beyond