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Timber Products Output Where we want to go and How to get there. Outline. Future Vision Current Steps Towards Vision Plan for Next Steps Future Options. Future Vision.

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Presentation Transcript
  • Future Vision
  • Current Steps Towards Vision
  • Plan for Next Steps
  • Future Options
future vision
Future Vision

“Imagine visiting a website where you draw a circle on a map with an immediate return of timely population estimates such as growing stock volume on timberland, removals, mortality, coarse woody debris all coupled with mill census information regarding roundwood harvests by species and corresponding harvest/processing residues”

future vision1
Future Vision

Live Trees



Roundwood Products

Mill Location

Mill Residues

steps toward vision
Steps Toward Vision

Northern FIA

National TPO Team

Nationalized, Modernized, Timely


Northern FIA

Southern FIA

Southern FIA

Western FIA

Western FIA


2010 - 2011

Eventual Future

* RMRS and PNW TPO Conducted through RJVA with Univ. of Montana

future vision elements
Future Vision Elements
  • TPO RPA every 5 years
  • One static, isolated online tool
  • Nationally inconsistent data collection
  • Timely – Dynamic TPO database
  • Online Tools – Data collection and distribution
  • Phase 2 and Phase 3 synchronicity
  • Stable mill census
  • All wood use accounting
  • Nationally consistent



what does vision buy us
What Does Vision Buy Us?








  • One database
  • One survey tool
  • “The Power of One”
  • Stabilize mill surveys
  • Utilization studies
  • Explore strategic partnerships
all wood use accounting
All Wood Use Accounting
  • Solid/paper products and energy (biomass); mill residue; logging residue
  • Logging/harvest utilization studies throughout the country
  • Virgin fiber…not recycled
  • Explore strategic partnerships: DOE, Census Bureau, and/or FPL
incremental steps towards vision
Incremental Steps Towards Vision

With Your Help



2010 2011 activities
2010-2011 Activities
  • A national TPO team with reps from all regions
  • A draft set of national TPO core report tables
  • Monthly CC’s are held to coordinate nationalization efforts
  • 6 half-day database CC’s
  • 1 week workshop in St. Paul in July, 1 week workshop in Asheville in October
  • All activities documented at fia-ab.wikidot.com
  • Programmers from each region assisting TPO team with national TPO database/documentation development
  • Working with FIDO developers on online data collection/analysis/reporting tools
  • 1st-ever national pulpwood report for 2008
national tpo mill survey tool
National TPO Mill Survey Tool
  • Meets eGov initiative: online data entry for paper survey
  • Provides mill ability to enter their data directly onlineORCooperator/Forest Service enters mill’s data from paper form
  • Secure login, encrypted data transmission and storage
  • Ability to start survey, save and finish at later time
  • Integrated data checks for improved QA
  • Storage in Oracle database
  • Data entry is integrated with national TPO data processing system
future options
Future Options

Which Data? How we Collect? How Often? Who Collects? Data Management? Who Analyzes? Which Website?

preferred future
Preferred Future
  • Mill censuses
  • Conducted periodically (2-5 years) (pulpwood annually)
  • Conducted by mix of FS, State, and university cooperators
  • Data include national core + regional add-ons
  • Dynamic national processing system in NIMS
  • Regionally prepared state TPO reports…national TPO database used for national reports/queries
  • Improved data collection and management systems that allow expanded research and reporting products
  • New online tools/applications, enhance access to TPO and FIA-inventory data for users
  • Explore logging utilization studies nationally
  • Coordination with DOE on fuelwood inventories
  • Facilitate annual imputation research
  • Explore coordination with FPL
  • Census Bureau partnership
still open for ideas
Still Open for Ideas




2010 Census

2015 Census

2010 Census

2015 Census

e.g. Annual Imputation

annual imputation
Annual Imputation
  • New TPO database could be annualized….


  • Development of consistent imputation estimators
  • Strategic partnerships (e.g., FPL) needed for research
  • State help with sampling frame development and annual mill sample
data stabilization options
Data Stabilization Options
  • Lengthen cycles in the states where state support is waning and the cycle is shorter than 5 years.
  • Buy-down to the 5-year P2 cycle and true “in-kind” state contributions to TPO effort.
  • Explore competitive grants (e.g., USDA, DOE, NSF) to periodically help pay for mill censuses and/or logging utilization studies.
  • Any more additional $ that FIA programs can contribute towards TPO?
  • Explore writing TPO work (e.g., mill surveys and utilization studies) into state/cooperator field work.

TPO is Cooperative process with States

States: Have mill contacts…collect data

FIA: Processes data, reports, and distributes

possible outcomes
Possible Outcomes
  • $ Reductions: Efficiencies through nationalization may maintain current program…we are building national data system…states need to fill with quality/timely data.
  • $ Flat: Incremental progress if existing contractor continues database development efforts with programming staff (2 FTEs).
  • $ Additions: Utilization studies, stabilized data collection, progress on national database (years instead of decades?), staffing to pursue internal/external FIA imputation research
  • Users have been heard
  • Progress has been made…must occur hand-in-hand with states
  • With your help we can go much farther