CPPA Past/Ongoing Activities. Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions Address systematic ocean-atmosphere model biases Eastern Pacific Investigation of Climate ( EPIC ) Land-Atmosphere Interactions Understand and model land-atmosphere interactions Land surface model Land data assimilation system
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Drought predictability and prediction
Large scale forcing; regional and small scale feedbacks;
American Monsoon monitoring and prediction
Land surface processes and modeling
Tropical Pacific SST prediction
double ITCZ; eastern ocean boundary SST;
Field experiments (using CPT approach)
Western Mountain Hydroclimate Studies (winter season)
VAMOS Ocean-Cloud-Atmosphere-Land Studies (VOCALS)
Improve applications of climate forecast for water resource management
runoff improved with
topographic Influences (Leung et al.)
Western Mountain Hydroclimatology
Challenge and future studies:
rainfall very sensitive
to model parameterizations
(Gochis et al.)
- A planning meeting will be held in 2006 to develop
- will leverage community and interagency effort
VOCALS is an international program for studies of the eastern tropical Pacific climate
VOCALS is a post EPIC study
Science goals emphasize:
Interactions between the climate in the southeastern Pacific and remote climates, particularly over South America and its monsoon system,
Biases in coupled GCMs and effects on seasonal and interannual predictability,
Local air-sea interactions, including stratocumulus clouds.
NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) and GFDL climate model
NWS/OHD & RFCs hydrologic prediction system
Information needs: improved understanding and modeling of climate processes and improved forecast skill
Water resource managers
Information needs: downscaling of climate forecasts and regionalized forecasts
Fire manager, agriculture, …
number of new/improved products
new/improved model components and schemes
reports on predictability studies
demonstration of improved simulation/forecast skills
How does CPPA engage stakeholders and end users?
fund projects to directly work with stakeholders
CPPA Core Project to directly transfer research into NWS operations
indirect engagement thru partnership with other programs, such as, SARP, NCTP
example: experimental hydrologic prediction system
How to quantify the impacts of CPPA on stakeholders?
number of case studies and successful stories
Does NOAA Climate Prediction & Project Program support international climate operations/services?
NOAA needs a mechanism for operational organizations to take over long-term research data development so that research funds can be released to support new research.