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2012 Regional Economic Outlook NAPM Spokane Chapter. Grant D. Forsyth, Ph.D. College of Business and Public Administration Institute for Public Policy and Economic Analysis. gforsyth@ewu.edu 509-359-6517. Current Policy Discourse in D.C. and Europe. 2011 Major Indicator Summary.

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2012 Regional Economic Outlook

NAPM Spokane Chapter

Grant D. Forsyth, Ph.D.College of Business and Public AdministrationInstitute for Public Policy and Economic Analysis

gforsyth@ewu.edu

509-359-6517

regional unemployment rates 2009 2011
Regional Unemployment Rates, 2009-2011

Will stay above 8% in 2012 with growing youth unemployment problem.

Employment Growth > Population Growth

Source: BLS and author’s calculations.

spokane kootenai initial unemployment claims 2007 2011
Spokane+Kootenai Initial Unemployment Claims, 2007-2011

-15%

-14%

Source: LMEA, Alivia Body (ID ESD), and author’s calculations.

spokane kootenai non farm employment growth 2007 2011
Spokane+Kootenai Non-Farm Employment Growth, 2007-2011

No significant job growth since 2007.

Source: BLS and author’s calculations.

sa spokane kootenai non farm employment levels since june 2009
SA Spokane+Kootenai Non-Farm Employment Levels Since June 2009

Source: BLS and author’s calculations.

spokane kootenai real per capita personal income growth 2007 2011
Spokane+Kootenai Real Per Capita Personal Income Growth, 2007-2011

No significant income growth since 2007.

Source: BEA and author’s calculations.

spokane kootenai nominal existing home price growth 2007 2011
Spokane+Kootenai Nominal Existing Home Price Growth, 2007-2011

Still too much inventory on the market or in the back ground as “real estate acquired.”

Source: FHFA and author’s calculations.

wa and u s real estate acquired as a share of total assets 2000 2011
WA and U.S. “Real Estate Acquired” as a Share of Total Assets, 2000-2011

Source: FDIC and author’s calculations.

spokane kootenai residential units permitted 2006 2011
Spokane+Kootenai Residential Units Permitted, 2006-2011

+20%

+15%

Source: U.S. Census and author’s calculations.

spokane taxable sales growth 2007 2011
Spokane Taxable Sales Growth, 2007-2011

Surge in 2Q activity:

2Q 2010-2Q 2011, 50% of increase due to construction and motor vehicles & parts.

Source: WA DOR and author’s calculations.