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Multi-Pollutant Multi-Effect Modeling of European Air Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach. The MERLIN team:. IER University of Stuttgart (Co-ordinator) [GER]

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The merlin team

Multi-Pollutant Multi-Effect Modeling of European Air Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach

The MERLIN team:

  • IER University of Stuttgart (Co-ordinator) [GER]

  • Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Laboratory for Heat Transfer and Environmental Engineering (AUT/LHTEE) [GR]

  • University College London (UCL) [UK]

  • Norwegian Meteorological Institute (DNMI) [NO]

  • ECOFYS Energy and Environment [NL]

  • Institute for Ecology of Industrial Areas (IETU) [POL]

Extension in the frame of the EC call to include partners from NAS:

  • Energy Research Center (ERC) of Ostrava TechnicalUniversity (Ostrava, Czech Republic)

  • National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (Sofia, Bulgaria)

  • University of Ploiesti (Ploiesti, Romania)


The merlin team

Objectives Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach

Development and application of methodologies and toolsfor an integrated assessment of European air pollution control strategies

  • multi-pollutant, multi-effect assessment

  • cost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analysis

  • inclusion of non-technical measures

  • macroeconomic effects and distributional burdens of air pollution control

  • inclusion of accession countries


The merlin team

Acidification Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach

Global Warming

Eutrophication

N2O

SO2

CH4

NOx

CO2

NH3

CO

NMVOC

Urban Air Quality

Particulate Matter (PM2.5 / PM10)

TroposphericOzone

primary & secondary Aerosols

Multi-Pollutant Multi-Effect Analysis


The merlin team

2001 Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach

2002

2003

04

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

J

F

M

A

M

J

J

A

S

O

N

D

J

WP01

WP02

WP03

WP04

WP05

WP06

WP07

WP08

WP09

WP10

WP11

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

= main inputs

Report

D01, D02

D05a, b

D07a/b

Interim Report (R01)

D03b

D04b

D08b

D03a

D04a

D07c

D08a

Interim Report (R02)

D06

D09

Final

Deliverables

Reports

Events

st

d

1

n

2

Project Meeting

Project Meeting

Project Meeting

Project Meeting

Project Meeting

Project Kick-off

Final Meeting

MERLIN Schedule


The merlin team

Comparison Between MERLIN and the IIASA-DNMI Contract Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approach


The merlin team

2000 Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated ApproachBase Case

2010 Business-as-usual(BAU)

Optimised Scenarios (2005 to 2020)

+ 2020 BAU

EMEP 2000 Emissions

(country totals & sectoral)

OR:

EMEP 1999 Emissions

(country totals, sectoral adaption according to GENEMIS Scenarios)

  • EMEP 2010 Emission Projections

  • (according to countries‘ submission)

  • AND harmonisation/crosscheck with:

  • official energy projections

  • implementation of policies in place and in pipeline

  • sectoral targets

  • OMEGA II optimisation runs (annual)

  • AND exogeneous changes in

  • technology of stock

  • sectoral activity rates

  • ...

  • i.e. W2 runs for each year (2005, ... 2010, ... 2020) in the following way:

MERLIN Scenarios


The merlin team

Generate the first set Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated Approachof solutions at random

Stock activity database

Calculate the resulting

emissions for each country

Source receptor

Matrices (EMEP)

Crossbreed and mutate the

surviving strategies

Calculate concentration

changes on a 50 * 50 km grid

Remove strategies with worst

performance

Evaluate results

End optimisation, if targets are

achieved.

MERLIN Optimisation Approach (Evolutionary Algorithm)


The merlin team

MERLIN Pollution Control Strategies - an Integrated ApproachNetworking

  • MERLIN maintains close links to ongoing activities, such as the

  • UNECE Task Force Emission Inventories and Projection (TFEIP),

  • UNECE Task Force Integrated Assessment Modelling (TFIAM), and the recently established

  • UNECE Expert Group on Techno-Economic Issues (EGTEI)

  • in order to make best efforts to harmonise work and take into account best available data sources.